TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Fedoryshyn vs Maksym Baday 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13111210211611117
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Maksym Baday below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7
94 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 120–130 Maksym Baday Ivan Fedoryshyn has won 120 of their 250 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Baday beat Fedoryshyn 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baday form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.833 / Baday 1.833
Setka Cup · #13265556
Fedoryshyn1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Baday1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn8wins
AwayBaday2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn87.5%7 of 8
AwayBadayn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn8Baday2n = 10Fedoryshyn took 8 of 10
S2Fedoryshyn7Baday3n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S3Fedoryshyn6Baday4n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S4Fedoryshyn4Baday2n = 6Fedoryshyn took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynBadayF − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.032.2+5.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynBadayBasisWin rate · lifetime533 / 815 vs 541 / 72565.4%74.6%533 / 815 vs 541 / 725Avg sets wonper match2.32.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.83/Baday 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 8 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn33119491M. Baday4071111113
WOct 6 · 17:28I. Fedoryshyn331111113M. Baday206770
WOct 6 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn331111113M. Baday218940
WSep 29 · 14:00I. Fedoryshyn47671112113M. Baday48111191072
WSep 25 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn3911611113M. Baday33611881
WSep 25 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn331111113M. Baday238690
WSep 24 · 17:08I. Fedoryshyn401118113M. Baday2781630
LSep 24 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn305111131M. Baday4111613113
WSep 15 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn4516117113M. Baday391461181
WSep 15 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn47111114113M. Baday30371641
I. Fedoryshyn10
WOct 8 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn1.5011117113S. Chuhai2.50881141WOct 8 · 15:00R. Ivanov2.2010370I. Fedoryshyn1.611211113LOct 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.8071111113I. Fedoryshyn1.91119491WOct 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk2.6387130I. Fedoryshyn1.441111153WOct 6 · 17:28I. Fedoryshyn1.671111113M. Baday2.106770WOct 6 · 15:30M. Baday1.738940I. Fedoryshyn2.001111113LOct 6 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.8091111882A. Kasyanov1.91116811113LOct 6 · 13:30S. Chuhai2.25116113113I. Fedoryshyn1.5761151172WOct 6 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.331111113A. Lushchyk3.259870LOct 1 · 17:30A. Lushchyk2.63151111133I. Fedoryshyn1.441765111
M. Baday10
WOct 8 · 16:30M. Baday2.251111113R. Ivanov1.572960WOct 8 · 15:30M. Baday1.22111110113A. Lushchyk4.00381271WOct 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.8071111113I. Fedoryshyn1.91119491WOct 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.5011118123S. Chuhai2.507311101LOct 6 · 17:28I. Fedoryshyn1.671111113M. Baday2.106770WOct 6 · 16:30M. Baday1.361111133S. Chuhai3.0089110LOct 6 · 15:30M. Baday1.738940I. Fedoryshyn2.001111113WOct 6 · 14:00M. Baday1.2011112113A. Lushchyk4.33961181WOct 6 · 13:00M. Baday1.3611211113A. Kasyanov3.00711461WOct 2 · 17:34R. Ivanov1.738611101M. Baday2.0011119123
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