TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Patrik Klos vs Josef Braun 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214118118911711
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:30 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Braun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
1214118118911711
H2H Patrik Klos 13–14 Josef Braun Patrik Klos has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:3054.0%Our read53.5%to break even at 1.87
clears by 0.5pp53.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.87 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Klos
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klos 1748 vs Braun 1779
Braun
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klos 60% vs Braun 20%
Klos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klos 60% vs Braun 20%
Klos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klos +1 · Braun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Braun) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Braun form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlos 1.83 / Braun 1.87
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Braun)+0.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13264493
Klos1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 25) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 105 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it78% 80 of 102
Braun1.87
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 06)
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog40% won 79 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlos3wins
AwayBraun7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBraun leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlos33.3%1 of 3
AwayBraun71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klos3Braun7n = 10Braun took 7 of 10
S2Klos4Braun6n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S3Klos8Braun2n = 10Klos took 8 of 10
S4Klos1Braun7n = 8Braun took 7 of 8
S5Klos2Braun4n = 6Braun took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlosBraunK − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.442.6−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlosBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 320 vs 496 / 96153.4%51.6%171 / 320 vs 496 / 961Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BraunKlos 1.83/Braun 1.87
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Braun · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 16:05P. Klos2372140J. Braun381111163
LSep 3 · 11:45P. Klos4211612762J. Braun518111011113
LAug 19 · 19:40P. Klos239680J. Braun331111113
LAug 13 · 15:25P. Klos29271191J. Braun3711114113
WAug 6 · 19:40P. Klos3961111113J. Braun33118861
WJul 16 · 03:45P. Klos47119115113J. Braun4371171172
LJul 13 · 09:00P. Klos4011711562J. Braun50911811113
WJul 13 · 06:30P. Klos49811118113J. Braun3911531192
LJul 10 · 06:05P. Klos49811111182J. Braun52119813113
LJun 15 · 10:30P. Klos4371111862J. Braun50118911113
P. Klos10
WSep 25 · 14:35K. Kapik2.303670P. Klos1.521111113LSep 25 · 13:25P. Klos1.499760M. Malachowski2.501111113WSep 25 · 12:10D. Kosmal3.106980P. Klos1.301111113LSep 25 · 10:55M. Nowalinski2.401111113P. Klos1.517850WSep 25 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz2.307520P. Klos1.551111113LSep 25 · 07:40K. Wisniewski2.111111153P. Klos1.6678130WSep 25 · 06:50G. Poliniewicz2.309131115112P. Klos1.521115413133LSep 25 · 06:00P. Klos1.332101171D. Kosmal2.9511124113WSep 25 · 04:25P. Klos1.521111113M. Malachowski2.356750WSep 25 · 03:40K. Kapik2.7571151192P. Klos1.40117118113
J. Braun10
WOct 9 · 04:25J. Braun1.851311113K. Wloczko1.8511880WOct 6 · 14:35P. Chodorski1.736850J. Braun2.001111113LOct 6 · 13:20J. Braun2.2097100A. Wiecek1.611111123LOct 6 · 12:05G. Felkel1.501114113J. Braun2.5071260LOct 6 · 10:50M. Miastowski1.571111113J. Braun2.252540LOct 6 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.731113113J. Braun2.0051180WOct 6 · 08:05J. Braun2.001411119113M. Miastowski1.7316491192LOct 6 · 06:30A. Wiecek1.73113127113J. Braun2.00911101162LOct 6 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.61111110113J. Braun2.20891221LOct 6 · 04:55J. Braun2.509811131G. Felkel1.5011119153
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