TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Dalibor Velky Jr vs Jan Krupnik 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911116119––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9
76 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 18–22 Jan Krupnik Dalibor Velky Jr has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Velky Jr beat Krupnik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVelky Jr 1.909 / Krupnik 1.80
TT Cup · #13263603
Velky Jr1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 119 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 61
Krupnik1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 134 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it72% 94 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVelky Jr5wins
AwayKrupnik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVelky Jr100%5 of 5
AwayKrupnik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Velky Jr5Krupnik5n = 10split evenly
S2Velky Jr2Krupnik8n = 10Krupnik took 8 of 10
S3Velky Jr6Krupnik4n = 10Velky Jr took 6 of 10
S4Velky Jr2Krupnik5n = 7Krupnik took 5 of 7
S5Velky Jr3Krupnik0n = 3Velky Jr took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVelky JrKrupnikV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.6−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVelky JrKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 610 vs 493 / 96249.3%51.3%301 / 610 vs 493 / 962Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikVelky Jr 1.91/Krupnik 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Velky Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 07:15D. Velky Jr45121012113J. Krupnik4110121091
WOct 3 · 12:15D. Velky Jr391411143J. Krupnik26122120
LSep 28 · 20:48D. Velky Jr33141450J. Krupnik431616113
LSep 28 · 19:15D. Velky Jr279990J. Krupnik331111113
WSep 15 · 10:10D. Velky Jr41113124113J. Krupnik45911101142
WSep 13 · 17:20D. Velky Jr45154411113J. Krupnik51131111882
LSep 13 · 15:10D. Velky Jr31681161J. Krupnik3911116113
LSep 4 · 10:10D. Velky Jr32851181J. Krupnik3911116113
LSep 4 · 07:10D. Velky Jr3713311101J. Krupnik4615118123
WAug 29 · 15:45D. Velky Jr46111194113J. Krupnik4387111162
D. Velky Jr10
LOct 8 · 08:15R. Benes1.61111110113D. Velky Jr2.20981281WOct 8 · 07:15D. Velky Jr2.10121012113J. Krupnik1.6710121091LOct 8 · 05:45J. Gembala1.401111173D. Velky Jr2.7538150LOct 7 · 08:44D. Velky Jr1.83141191192L. Slavik1.83169118113WOct 7 · 08:10L. Slavik1.531248121D. Velky Jr2.38101111143LOct 7 · 07:10D. Velky Jr2.634790J. Gembala1.441111113LOct 7 · 05:40J. Skvrna1.611111113D. Velky Jr2.209980LOct 6 · 09:08T. Krenek1.671112911113D. Velky Jr2.10710111362WOct 6 · 08:10D. Velky Jr1.8071111133R. Sedlacek1.911187111WOct 6 · 06:40M. Moravec1.67715111142D. Velky Jr2.10111749113
J. Krupnik10
WOct 8 · 07:45J. Gembala1.5781080J. Krupnik2.251112113LOct 8 · 07:15D. Velky Jr2.10121012113J. Krupnik1.6710121091LOct 8 · 06:15J. Krupnik1.83111110582R. Benes1.83991211113WOct 6 · 16:40D. Skulina1.80119111172J. Krupnik1.91131185113LOct 6 · 15:45B. Moravec1.4491213113J. Krupnik2.6311101111LOct 6 · 15:15L. Slavik2.001111113J. Krupnik1.735780LOct 6 · 14:15J. Krupnik2.00119591D. Skulina1.7381111113LOct 6 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.80116116112B. Mrowetz1.91711711133LOct 6 · 11:40J. Krupnik2.20761151J. Skvrna1.6111118113LOct 6 · 10:40J. Krupnik1.7381471172T. Krenek2.001112118113
Upcoming Matches
D. Velky Jr
Nothing scheduled
J. Krupnik
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