TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Zahradnik vs Jiri Louda 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Tomas Zahradnik
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11811131121012119
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Zahradnik to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Zahradnik above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Tomas Zahradnik at 59.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Zahradnik 29–14 Jiri Louda Jiri Louda has won 14 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:5359.3%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 2.6pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zahradnik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
29-14 in 43
Zahradnik
Correct
gap of 15 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradnik 1651 vs Louda 1634
Zahradnik
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradnik 20% vs Louda 60%
Louda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradnik 20% vs Louda 60%
Louda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradnik -3 · Louda -2
Zahradnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Zahradnik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradnik 1.615 / Louda 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zahradnik)-2.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13258513
Zahradnik1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 16 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Louda2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 50 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradnik6wins
AwayLouda4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZahradnik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradnik80%4 of 5
AwayLouda60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradnik5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S2Zahradnik4Louda6n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S3Zahradnik5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S4Zahradnik8Louda2n = 10Zahradnik took 8 of 10
S5Zahradnik2Louda2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradnikLoudaZ − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.939.4+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradnikLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 192 vs 610 / 119347.4%51.1%91 / 192 vs 610 / 1193Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradnikZahradnik 1.61/Louda 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Zahradnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zahradnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 24 · 21:30T. Zahradnik44121110113J. Louda361081261
LApr 24 · 18:00T. Zahradnik31911561J. Louda3611311113
WApr 20 · 20:30T. Zahradnik45101111133J. Louda361276111
WApr 13 · 21:00T. Zahradnik49961211113J. Louda40111110442
LApr 13 · 18:00T. Zahradnik5410121111102J. Louda56121499123
WMar 23 · 20:30T. Zahradnik4111811113J. Louda28711281
WDec 22 · 22:00T. Zahradnik47119511113J. Louda4391111482
LDec 22 · 19:00T. Zahradnik361341091J. Louda45111112113
LDec 18 · 20:30T. Zahradnik4495111182J. Louda46111185113
WNov 26 · 22:30T. Zahradnik3811115113J. Louda28671141
T. Zahradnik10
LOct 6 · 20:58T. Zahradnik1.5351181182O. Cmerda2.38115113113LOct 6 · 20:30T. Zahradnik2.005660R. Wagner1.731111113LOct 6 · 19:00T. Zahradnik1.73712381J. Tazler2.00111011113WOct 6 · 18:00O. Cmerda1.807760T. Zahradnik1.911111113LJul 10 · 21:00V. Nohejl1.575121111113T. Zahradnik2.2511148882LJul 10 · 20:30R. Urbaniec1.44111110113T. Zahradnik2.63371251LJul 10 · 19:30T. Zahradnik2.5081171442V. Nohejl1.501161112113LJul 10 · 18:30M. Huk1.50121113123T. Zahradnik2.5010815101LJul 7 · 20:58V. Vejvoda1.571113113T. Zahradnik2.2581120WJul 7 · 20:00V. Vejvoda1.571212139102T. Zahradnik2.2514101111123
J. Louda10
LOct 6 · 09:30M. Regner1.8391211113J. Louda1.831110571LOct 6 · 08:30M. Regner1.831111710113J. Louda1.8398111262WOct 6 · 07:30J. Louda1.5711111113V. Vejvoda2.25671151WOct 6 · 06:30M. Sychra2.2581171192J. Louda1.57113114113WOct 3 · 17:30M. Pikous1.9162100J. Louda1.801111123LOct 3 · 16:30J. Louda1.57111461242M. Sychra2.256121114113WOct 3 · 15:00J. Louda1.5371111113J. Zuzanek2.38115631LOct 3 · 14:00M. Pikous1.83911911113J. Louda1.8311711812WOct 2 · 17:30R. Wagner1.6311115952J. Louda2.15871111113WOct 2 · 16:30J. Louda1.4411159123V. Vejvoda2.6331311101
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