TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Belskyi vs Oleksandr Zhurba 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211711411––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:47 and never touched: 89.4% is still 89.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhurba to win
89.4%
89.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Belskyi above · Oleksandr Zhurba below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 46 set 3, 4-11 · our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 89.4%
46 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Belskyi 0–1 Oleksandr Zhurba Oleksandr Belskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:4789.4%Our read92.3%to break even at 1.083
short by 2.9pp92.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.083 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Zhurba
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Belskyi 1602 vs Zhurba 1953
Zhurba
Correct
both rated, 351 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belskyi 20% vs Zhurba 80%
Zhurba
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belskyi 30% vs Zhurba 80%
Zhurba
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Belskyi -1 · Zhurba -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% · Strong (leans Zhurba) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhurba form (80%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelskyi 7.00 / Zhurba 1.083
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Zhurba)-2.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13256138
Belskyi7.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 12 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Zhurba1.08
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite73% won 156 of 215
Up 2–0, closes it97% 94 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it87% 120 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBelskyi0wins
AwayZhurba1wins
Zhurba leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricBelskyiZhurbaB − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.035.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelskyiZhurbaBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 135 vs 458 / 69341.5%66.1%56 / 135 vs 458 / 693Avg sets wonper match1.82.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZhurbaBelskyi 7.00/Zhurba 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.4%
Zhurba · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zhurba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 6 · 14:30O. Belskyi2577110O. Zhurba351111133
O. Belskyi10
LOct 7 · 10:20O. Belskyi5.0054100O. Bondarchuk1.141111123WOct 7 · 08:50O. Belskyi2.1081111113O. Shkurupii1.67114781LOct 7 · 07:20O. Belskyi2.25111112662D. Neborak1.57711411113LOct 7 · 05:50O. Belskyi1.7341110101O. Ivchuk2.0011912123LOct 6 · 18:30O. Belskyi5.0061080O. Bondarchuk1.141112113LOct 6 · 16:30D. Neborak1.6111911113O. Belskyi2.20611671LOct 6 · 15:30O. Belskyi2.1071711101O. Shkurupii1.6711196123LOct 6 · 14:30O. Zhurba1.081111133O. Belskyi7.0077110WOct 6 · 13:00O. Belskyi1.9111511113O. Ivchuk1.80411751WSep 23 · 12:20O. Belskyi1.2011711113A. Hrabskyi4.33411791
O. Zhurba10
LOct 7 · 10:50O. Zhurba1.28178981O. Shkurupii3.50151111113WOct 7 · 09:50O. Zhurba1.081511123O. Ivchuk7.00138100WOct 7 · 08:20O. Zhurba1.501111113O. Bondarchuk2.507950WOct 7 · 06:20O. Zhurba1.2061111123D. Neborak4.331152101WOct 6 · 18:00D. Neborak4.3311770O. Zhurba1.201311113WOct 6 · 17:00O. Zhurba1.141111113O. Ivchuk5.004550LOct 6 · 16:00O. Zhurba1.404850O. Bondarchuk2.751111113WOct 6 · 14:30O. Zhurba1.081111133O. Belskyi7.0077110WOct 6 · 12:30O. Zhurba1.251481111113O. Shkurupii3.75121171372WOct 4 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.171111113D. Neborak4.509380
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