TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Kryshtal vs Myhailo Levytskii 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114114117––––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:16 and never touched: 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kryshtal to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Myhailo Levytskii below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 48 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Dmytro Kryshtal at 71.6%
48 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 1–1 Myhailo Levytskii Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:1671.6%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 1.8pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kryshtal
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kryshtal 1857 vs Levytskii 1653
Kryshtal
Correct
both rated, 204 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryshtal 40% vs Levytskii 0%
Kryshtal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryshtal 40% vs Levytskii 10%
Kryshtal
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryshtal -1 · Levytskii -7
Levytskii
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% · Strong (leans Kryshtal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskii form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.363 / Levytskii 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Kryshtal)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13250944
Kryshtal1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 153 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it93% 82 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it76% 118 of 156
Levytskii3.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog25% won 7 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKryshtal1wins
AwayLevytskii1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKryshtalLevytskiiK − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.532.5+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalLevytskiiBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 806 vs 166 / 31143.3%53.4%349 / 806 vs 166 / 311Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.36/Levytskii 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 29 · 15:30D. Kryshtal331111113M. Levytskii156540
LSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal4812119882M. Levytskii501071111113
D. Kryshtal10
LOct 6 · 14:00D. Kryshtal2.3896111192S. Balabei1.53111156113WOct 6 · 13:00D. Kryshtal1.2511117113S. Kiilo3.75671181LOct 3 · 10:30D. Kryshtal1.535611111V. Komar2.3811117133LOct 3 · 09:30D. Kryshtal2.63128111172R. Horokh1.44141191113WOct 3 · 08:30D. Yurkov2.105840D. Kryshtal1.671111113LOct 3 · 07:30D. Kryshtal1.61911101292D. Yurkov2.201161210113WOct 3 · 06:00R. Horokh1.5361111542D. Kryshtal2.38119611113WOct 3 · 05:30V. Komar2.38118691D. Kryshtal1.5381111113LSep 30 · 09:30V. Komar2.501151112113D. Kryshtal1.5051191472LSep 30 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.25111111742S. Kiilo3.75136711113
M. Levytskii10
LOct 6 · 14:30M. Levytskii2.5068100S. Kiilo1.501111123LOct 6 · 13:30R. Horokh1.131111153M. Levytskii5.5037130LOct 6 · 12:30M. Levytskii4.50414271S. Balabei1.17111211113LSep 29 · 16:33I. Shyndel1.281111113M. Levytskii3.508760LSep 29 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.731111113M. Levytskii2.006540LSep 29 · 14:30M. Levytskii3.008890I. Shyndel1.361111113LSep 29 · 12:30M. Levytskii5.50811571R. Horokh1.1311711113WSep 27 · 10:08O. Torianyk2.2576100M. Levytskii1.571111123LSep 27 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.5051111582P. Kolesnik2.50116511113LSep 27 · 08:30M. Levytskii1.445111181O. Torianyk2.6311813113
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