TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Sobel vs Mariusz Zwolinski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115711119118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
115711119118––
H2H Artur Sobel 12–2 Mariusz Zwolinski Mariusz Zwolinski has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sobel beat Zwolinski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zwolinski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.19 / Zwolinski 4.30
TT Elite Series · #13247912
Sobel1.19
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 177 of 281
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it79% 123 of 155
Zwolinski4.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 57 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back21% 21 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel8wins
AwayZwolinski2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSobel leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel100%6 of 6
AwayZwolinski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel6Zwolinski4n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S2Sobel8Zwolinski2n = 10Sobel took 8 of 10
S3Sobel8Zwolinski2n = 10Sobel took 8 of 10
S4Sobel5Zwolinski1n = 6Sobel took 5 of 6
S5Sobel1Zwolinski2n = 3Zwolinski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelZwolinskiS − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.533.0+6.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelZwolinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime650 / 1188 vs 154 / 40954.7%37.7%650 / 1188 vs 154 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.19/Zwolinski 4.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 06:55A. Sobel3911116113M. Zwolinski30671161
WSep 21 · 10:10A. Sobel45711115113M. Zwolinski4711881192
WSep 21 · 06:55A. Sobel4291111113M. Zwolinski29116751
WSep 7 · 13:05A. Sobel3814112113M. Zwolinski381271181
WJan 6 · 10:00A. Sobel341111123M. Zwolinski2367100
LJan 6 · 07:30A. Sobel4799111172M. Zwolinski45111166113
WFeb 11 · 10:50A. Sobel341112113M. Zwolinski2381050
LFeb 11 · 04:25A. Sobel4799111172M. Zwolinski48111196113
WFeb 10 · 10:25A. Sobel331111113M. Zwolinski219480
WFeb 10 · 06:40A. Sobel361411113M. Zwolinski2612860
A. Sobel10
WOct 5 · 09:00A. Sobel1.85171111113D. Solilo1.85194761WOct 5 · 07:40B. Wisniewski6.009890A. Sobel1.111111113WOct 5 · 06:55M. Zwolinski4.10671161A. Sobel1.1811116113LOct 5 · 06:05A. Sobel1.9811881192M. Kolek1.65711118113WOct 5 · 04:30A. Sobel1.1681111113M. Lukaszewski4.35115621LOct 5 · 03:50B. Warpas3.231111113A. Sobel1.305680WSep 29 · 13:55A. Sobel1.80101111113D. Solilo1.91125141WSep 29 · 12:40A. Sobel1.3761111113J. Krawczyk2.70118971LSep 29 · 11:25A. Sobel1.53711861M. Minda2.3511611113LSep 29 · 10:10M. Kolek1.651111108133A. Sobel2.05591211112
M. Zwolinski10
LOct 5 · 09:25M. Zwolinski3.0091030B. Sulkowski1.321112113LOct 5 · 08:35M. Zwolinski5.101159111M. Kolek1.1271111133LOct 5 · 06:55M. Zwolinski4.10671161A. Sobel1.1811116113WOct 5 · 05:40M. Zwolinski1.9013101112113B. Warpas1.75111281452WOct 5 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.901091111133B. Wisniewski1.80121157112LOct 5 · 03:00M. Zwolinski1.8081280M. Lukaszewski1.911114113LOct 3 · 14:40M. Zwolinski2.759912101A. Eliasz1.37111110123WOct 3 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.051111107113M. Durda1.6587121182WOct 3 · 13:05M. Zwolinski1.701011611113W. Suchecki2.0512811892WOct 3 · 10:10M. Zwolinski1.90116711113J. Rolak1.8091111662
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