TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Blazej Warpas vs Artur Sobel 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116118––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:37 and never touched: 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
115116118––––
H2H Blazej Warpas 2–7 Artur Sobel Blazej Warpas has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:3779.4%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
clears by 2.5pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Sobel
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Sobel
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warpas 1298 vs Sobel 1591
Sobel
Wrong
both rated, 293 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warpas 20% vs Sobel 60%
Sobel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warpas 40% vs Sobel 60%
Sobel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warpas +1 · Sobel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Sobel) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobel form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarpas 3.23 / Sobel 1.30
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Sobel)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13243878
Warpas3.23
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 02)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 91 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back14% 18 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 77
Sobel1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 29)
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 177 of 280
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it79% 123 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeWarpas2wins
AwaySobel7wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSobel leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarpasn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySobel100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warpas2Sobel7n = 9Sobel took 7 of 9
S2Warpas5Sobel4n = 9Warpas took 5 of 9
S3Warpas1Sobel8n = 9Sobel took 8 of 9
S4Warpas1Sobel3n = 4Sobel took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricWarpasSobelW − SBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match31.437.9−6.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarpasSobelBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 841 vs 646 / 118251.5%54.7%433 / 841 vs 646 / 1182Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SobelWarpas 3.23/Sobel 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Warpas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 29 · 03:00B. Warpas4151191152A. Sobel50118119113
LSep 28 · 06:05B. Warpas33712771A. Sobel43111011113
LAug 10 · 13:55B. Warpas2371060A. Sobel341112113
LJul 28 · 11:00B. Warpas2165100A. Sobel341111123
LJul 20 · 07:20B. Warpas28211691A. Sobel3911611113
WJul 20 · 04:55B. Warpas46111194113A. Sobel4185111162
WJul 7 · 10:35B. Warpas341211113A. Sobel2510690
LJul 6 · 14:40B. Warpas32121280A. Sobel391414113
LFeb 27 · 18:20B. Warpas2512580A. Sobel361411113
B. Warpas10
LOct 5 · 04:55B. Warpas4.006680M. Kolek1.221111113WOct 2 · 13:55B. Warpas1.8516711113J. Przewlocki1.851411941LOct 2 · 12:40B. Warpas3.40711971J. Zochniak1.2511811113LOct 2 · 11:25B. Warpas3.301113781B. Czerwinski1.2781511113LOct 2 · 10:10F. Krcil1.601111113B. Warpas2.159670LOct 2 · 09:25B. Warpas2.2010970K. Kufel1.581211113WOct 2 · 08:35B. Warpas1.958111111113J. Przewlocki1.7511791342WOct 2 · 06:55B. Warpas1.6011113113F. Krcil2.21961181LOct 2 · 05:40B. Warpas1.95121080K. Kufel1.751412113WOct 2 · 04:10B. Warpas2.35131111113R. Stapor1.53158981
A. Sobel10
WSep 29 · 13:55A. Sobel1.80101111113D. Solilo1.91125141WSep 29 · 12:40A. Sobel1.3761111113J. Krawczyk2.70118971LSep 29 · 11:25A. Sobel1.53711861M. Minda2.3511611113LSep 29 · 10:10M. Kolek1.651111108133A. Sobel2.05591211112WSep 29 · 09:25A. Sobel1.37121111113F. Krcil2.75144521LSep 29 · 08:35A. Sobel1.9041090B. Czerwinski1.801112113WSep 29 · 06:55A. Sobel2.0371111113F. Krcil1.71117871LSep 29 · 05:40A. Sobel1.576770M. Minda2.201111113WSep 29 · 04:10A. Sobel1.68111110113M. Kukawka2.05441241WSep 29 · 03:00A. Sobel1.39118119113B. Warpas2.7951191152
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.