Michal Kumor vs Andrzej Krezel 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 5Finished

Michal Kumor

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

711311711––––

Andrzej Krezel

Away

1.62

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:18 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%

Graded at full time

Andrzej Krezel to win

60.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMichal Kumor above · Andrzej Krezel below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 3-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Point 50 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Andrzej Krezel at 60.5%

50 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:18

60.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 1.4pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Krezel

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kumor 1239 vs Krezel 1429

Krezel

Correct

both rated, 190 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kumor 40% vs Krezel 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kumor 30% vs Krezel 50%

Krezel

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kumor -2 · Krezel -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Krezel) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Krezel form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKumor 2.20 / Krezel 1.615

Signal prob.40% / 61%

Edge (Krezel)-1.4pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13243997

Kumor2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 248 days ago (Jan 30) · back after a break

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Krezel1.61

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 02)

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite58% won 39 of 67

Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29

Up 1–0, closes it83% 34 of 41

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKumorKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 1155 vs 109 / 28038.5%38.9%445 / 1155 vs 109 / 280Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.635.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Krezel

Kumor 2.20/Krezel 1.61

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.5%

Krezel · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Krezel won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Kumor10