TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Adamus vs Piotr Gumulinski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116119––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:48 and never touched: 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
118116119––––
H2H Kacper Adamus 21–21 Piotr Gumulinski Dead even across their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:4854.7%Our read57.1%to break even at 1.75
short by 2.4pp57.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.75 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Gumulinski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-21 in 42
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1338 vs Gumulinski 1413
Gumulinski
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Gumulinski 20%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 20% vs Gumulinski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -2 · Gumulinski -3
Gumulinski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Gumulinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.95 / Gumulinski 1.75
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Gumulinski)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13243979
Adamus1.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 03)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 84 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Gumulinski1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 381 of 611
Up 2–0, closes it95% 170 of 179
Up 1–0, closes it78% 254 of 327
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayGumulinski5wins
8 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus57.1%4 of 7
AwayGumulinski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus7Gumulinski3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S2Adamus1Gumulinski9n = 10Gumulinski took 9 of 10
S3Adamus6Gumulinski4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S4Adamus6Gumulinski4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S5Adamus4Gumulinski4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusGumulinskiA − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.747.8−1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime918 / 1690 vs 1035 / 182554.3%56.7%918 / 1690 vs 1035 / 1825Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiAdamus 1.95/Gumulinski 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 08:45K. Adamus45117115113P. Gumulinski4381171162
LSep 16 · 14:20K. Adamus4111661172P. Gumulinski49711119113
LSep 16 · 08:10K. Adamus50121198102P. Gumulinski531091111123
WAug 21 · 00:25K. Adamus51118811133P. Gumulinski51911119112
LAug 12 · 16:40K. Adamus531171112122P. Gumulinski571311910143
WAug 12 · 10:40K. Adamus51117119133P. Gumulinski45911311112
WAug 11 · 03:05K. Adamus55991113133P. Gumulinski511111711112
LAug 10 · 21:05K. Adamus35791181P. Gumulinski4011117113
LJul 14 · 00:10K. Adamus4412681172P. Gumulinski481011115113
WJul 13 · 20:20K. Adamus4211515113P. Gumulinski418111391
K. Adamus10
LOct 5 · 18:45L. Oracz1.7511156113K. Adamus1.909131181LOct 3 · 08:45K. Adamus1.879780W. Pytlas1.841111113LOct 3 · 07:10K. Adamus2.0081013101P. Polok1.70111211123WOct 3 · 06:00K. Adamus1.42111154123T. Lojtek2.60661111102WOct 3 · 04:25K. Adamus1.71141011123M. Koczyba2.0012126101LOct 3 · 03:10K. Adamus1.54611861P. Mecik2.2511711113LOct 2 · 02:00G. Jurowicz2.47511411133K. Adamus1.49119119112LOct 2 · 01:10M. Guzik1.8711157113K. Adamus1.836131151LOct 2 · 00:25K. Adamus1.51125791O. Sokolowski2.40101111113LOct 1 · 22:50K. Adamus1.90971271M. Lebek1.80111110113
P. Gumulinski10
LOct 5 · 19:30K. Kowalski5.757101111113P. Gumulinski1.1211124942LOct 5 · 05:05D. Dytko2.201111113P. Gumulinski1.588770LOct 5 · 03:55P. Gumulinski1.4521191172W. Urban2.50112114113LOct 5 · 02:45P. Kurek1.701111113P. Gumulinski2.046440WOct 5 · 01:30K. Kowalski6.008990P. Gumulinski1.111111113LOct 4 · 23:55J. Nowak2.801217113P. Gumulinski1.37101590WOct 4 · 23:05P. Kurek2.55111191172P. Gumulinski1.46571113113LOct 4 · 21:55P. Gumulinski1.4710711101W. Urban2.5012116123WOct 4 · 20:45D. Dytko2.1591181182P. Gumulinski1.63118117113LOct 4 · 19:30K. Kowalski1.8891712113P. Gumulinski1.8411151071
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