TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radovan Solle vs Daniel Branny 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118119––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:41 and never touched: 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeDaniel Branny to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Daniel Branny @ 1.80 · Lost
How it is goingRadovan Solle above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Daniel Branny at 54.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Solle 0–1 Daniel Branny Radovan Solle has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:4154.3%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.3pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Branny
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Solle 1483 vs Branny 1541
Branny
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solle 20% vs Branny 40%
Branny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solle 30% vs Branny 60%
Branny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solle -1 · Branny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Branny) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Branny form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolle 1.909 / Branny 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Branny)-1.3pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13242706
Solle1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 13 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Branny1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 66 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 41 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSolle0wins
AwayBranny1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBranny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSolleBrannyS − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.046.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolleBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 72 vs 191 / 36540.3%52.3%29 / 72 vs 191 / 365Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrannySolle 1.91/Branny 1.80
Miss
What we said
54.3%
Branny · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Daniel Branny @ 1.80 · Lost
What happened
3–0
Solle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 10 · 15:10R. Solle4311941182D. Branny46611117113
R. Solle10
LOct 4 · 18:40I. Heuman1.5711117113R. Solle2.25691151WOct 4 · 18:10A. Cizek1.7398121182R. Solle2.001111109113LOct 4 · 16:46R. Solle1.9159100L. Dzida1.801111123LOct 4 · 16:10D. Velky Jr1.73211511113R. Solle2.0011711982LOct 4 · 15:10R. Solle2.385136121R. Benes1.53111111143WOct 4 · 13:40L. Dzida1.73911661R. Solle2.0011511113WSep 26 · 20:45I. Heuman1.4415761192R. Solle2.631311119113LSep 26 · 20:10R. Solle2.1011981172K. Kleprlik1.67811115113LSep 26 · 18:40I. Heuman1.5011119113R. Solle2.50881181LSep 26 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.90116118113R. Solle1.8091191152
D. Branny10
LOct 4 · 20:40D. Branny1.73411661A. Cizek2.0011711113WOct 4 · 19:10D. Branny1.571113113A. Cizek2.2571170LOct 4 · 17:40I. Heuman1.6121111123D. Branny2.201194101LSep 30 · 21:15J. Przybyla1.8311111110113D. Branny1.8379131292WSep 30 · 19:40L. Lasota2.001016731D. Branny1.73121411113LSep 30 · 19:10J. Przybyla2.00411711123D. Branny1.73116111102WSep 30 · 18:10D. Branny1.7381111113D. Osvald2.00113991WSep 29 · 20:43D. Branny1.6713911113L. Lasota2.101111861WSep 29 · 19:45L. Lasota1.83451181D. Branny1.8311117113WSep 29 · 19:15V. Reska2.101011114122D. Branny1.67129711143
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