TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Michalski vs Adam Ruszkiewicz · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3No result
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
No score. The match was not completed
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
H2H Jakub Michalski 30–29 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 29 of their 59 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Ruszkiewicz beat Michalski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalski 2.65 / Ruszkiewicz 1.40
TT Elite Series · #13236573
Michalski2.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 78 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 129
Ruszkiewicz1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 57 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it72% 48 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalski4wins
AwayRuszkiewicz6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalski80%4 of 5
AwayRuszkiewicz100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalski5Ruszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S2Michalski4Ruszkiewicz6n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S3Michalski5Ruszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S4Michalski2Ruszkiewicz1n = 3Michalski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalskiRuszkiewiczM − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.532.6−2.1per matchSweeps34−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalskiRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 1043 vs 337 / 88538.3%38.1%399 / 1043 vs 337 / 885Avg sets wonper match1.61.7per matchAvg pointsper match33.635.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
Michalski 2.65/Ruszkiewicz 1.40
Not settled
What we said
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What happened
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Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 23:00J. Michalski198920A. Ruszkiewicz331111113
LAug 7 · 23:30J. Michalski3511311282A. Ruszkiewicz50811911113
LAug 7 · 19:10J. Michalski47811101172A. Ruszkiewicz50118128113
LAug 2 · 04:40J. Michalski195590A. Ruszkiewicz331111113
LAug 1 · 22:40J. Michalski236890A. Ruszkiewicz331111113
WAug 1 · 04:40J. Michalski4011711113A. Ruszkiewicz33911851
WJul 31 · 22:40J. Michalski331111113A. Ruszkiewicz154560
WJul 25 · 03:55J. Michalski331111113A. Ruszkiewicz198920
LJul 24 · 21:55J. Michalski2310580A. Ruszkiewicz341211113
WJul 18 · 02:20J. Michalski331111113A. Ruszkiewicz269980
J. Michalski10
LOct 3 · 03:05D. Fira1.55101111123J. Michalski2.251288101WOct 3 · 02:20K. Kowalski2.158250J. Michalski1.601111113WOct 3 · 01:30J. Michalski—11114113H. Tkaczyk—881171LOct 3 · 00:20J. Michalski2.80581141R. Wiza1.3711119113LOct 2 · 23:00J. Michalski2.558920A. Ruszkiewicz1.461111113LOct 2 · 21:50D. Fira1.4981111113J. Michalski2.46115971LOct 2 · 21:15R. Wiza1.441111113J. Michalski2.622650LOct 2 · 20:40J. Michalski5.50116111162H. Tkaczyk1.13131143113WOct 2 · 19:45J. Michalski1.76118114113W. Jozala1.9681181162LSep 27 · 04:40R. Szymik1.141111113J. Michalski4.705490
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LOct 3 · 03:55H. Tkaczyk—1111113A. Ruszkiewicz—8770WOct 3 · 01:55D. Fira2.30711491A. Ruszkiewicz1.5511911113WOct 3 · 01:10R. Wiza1.80961671A. Ruszkiewicz1.91111114113WOct 2 · 23:30K. Kowalski3.604790A. Ruszkiewicz1.261111113WOct 2 · 23:00J. Michalski2.558920A. Ruszkiewicz1.461111113WOct 2 · 22:25H. Tkaczyk—816771A. Ruszkiewicz—111411113LOct 2 · 20:55D. Fira2.0561111113A. Ruszkiewicz1.68116571LOct 2 · 20:20W. Jozala2.001191012113A. Ruszkiewicz1.70911121092WOct 2 · 17:30R. Wiza1.738570A. Ruszkiewicz2.001111113WSep 30 · 20:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.5011118113K. Juszczyk1.47871181
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