TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ivo Taichman vs Filip Zurek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111181198111210
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:28 and never touched: 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Filip Zurek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 99 set 5, 12-10 · our read held Filip Zurek at 67.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 8–16 Filip Zurek Ivo Taichman has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2867.9%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 3.5pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zurek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-16 in 24
Zurek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1432 vs Zurek 1449
Zurek
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 20% vs Zurek 40%
Zurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 30% vs Zurek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman -4 · Zurek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Zurek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zurek form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 2.75 / Zurek 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Zurek)-3.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13232923
Taichman2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 47
Zurek1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 87 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaichman1wins
AwayZurek9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZurek leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaichman0%0 of 4
AwayZurek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taichman4Zurek6n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S2Taichman3Zurek7n = 10Zurek took 7 of 10
S3Taichman4Zurek6n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S4Taichman3Zurek5n = 8Zurek took 5 of 8
S5Taichman0Zurek4n = 4Zurek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTaichmanZurekT − ZBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.143.4−7.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanZurekBasisWin rate · lifetime283 / 552 vs 323 / 63751.3%50.7%283 / 552 vs 323 / 637Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekTaichman 2.75/Zurek 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 16:00I. Taichman3351111242F. Zurek51119911113
LOct 1 · 20:30I. Taichman33711781F. Zurek4211911113
LSep 28 · 20:00I. Taichman28114761F. Zurek3961111113
LSep 26 · 08:00I. Taichman4011561172F. Zurek46511118113
LSep 21 · 11:00I. Taichman196940F. Zurek331111113
LSep 16 · 08:59I. Taichman4511914922F. Zurek505111211113
LSep 16 · 08:30I. Taichman30111090F. Zurek361312113
WSep 12 · 08:00I. Taichman4291111113F. Zurek36119791
LSep 11 · 09:28I. Taichman595161411132F. Zurek631118127153
LSep 11 · 08:00I. Taichman32119571F. Zurek3851111113
I. Taichman10
LOct 3 · 09:00I. Taichman2.001251071F. Zurek1.73101112113LOct 3 · 07:00I. Taichman1.678990V. Bosak2.101111113LOct 3 · 06:00T. Milkov1.9111911113I. Taichman1.80711471LOct 2 · 17:00I. Taichman1.9551111962R. Guliak1.75118511113LOct 2 · 16:00I. Taichman2.2551111242F. Zurek1.57119911113WOct 2 · 15:30T. Milkov2.103119111I. Taichman1.6711311133LOct 2 · 14:00I. Taichman1.73151141R. Guliak2.0011119113WOct 1 · 20:58R. Adam1.6791111892I. Taichman2.10116611113LOct 1 · 20:30I. Taichman2.25711781F. Zurek1.5711911113WOct 1 · 19:00I. Taichman2.2571111113R. Adam1.57117671
F. Zurek10
WOct 3 · 09:00I. Taichman2.001251071F. Zurek1.73101112113LOct 3 · 07:30F. Zurek3.00711761T. Milkov1.3611811113LOct 3 · 06:30V. Bosak1.80101111113F. Zurek1.91129821LOct 2 · 17:30T. Milkov1.40911811113F. Zurek2.7011911542WOct 2 · 16:00I. Taichman2.2551111242F. Zurek1.57119911113WOct 2 · 15:00R. Guliak2.25661171F. Zurek1.5711115113LOct 2 · 14:30F. Zurek2.634640T. Milkov1.441111113LOct 1 · 21:30M. Blejchar1.40119116113F. Zurek2.7581191182WOct 1 · 20:30I. Taichman2.25711781F. Zurek1.5711911113LOct 1 · 19:30F. Zurek2.637111161M. Blejchar1.4411137113
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