TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Matyas Kolek vs Antonin Schneeberger 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119115––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:28 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatyas Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMatyas Kolek above · Antonin Schneeberger below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 · our read held Matyas Kolek at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Kolek 3–6 Antonin Schneeberger Matyas Kolek has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2854.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Schneeberger
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1373 vs Schneeberger 1293
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 60% vs Schneeberger 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 60% vs Schneeberger 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +1 · Schneeberger +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kolek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.80 / Schneeberger 1.909
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolek)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13232020
Kolek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 46 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it78% 36 of 46
Schneeberger1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 27)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 28 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKolek3wins
AwaySchneeberger6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSchneeberger leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek75%3 of 4
AwaySchneeberger100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek4Schneeberger5n = 9Schneeberger took 5 of 9
S2Kolek3Schneeberger6n = 9Schneeberger took 6 of 9
S3Kolek4Schneeberger5n = 9Schneeberger took 5 of 9
S4Kolek2Schneeberger4n = 6Schneeberger took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricKolekSchneebergerK − SBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match33.837.2−3.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekSchneebergerBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 257 vs 128 / 28351.8%45.2%133 / 257 vs 128 / 283Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 1.80/Schneeberger 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 3 · 06:30M. Kolek331111113A. Schneeberger184950
WAug 14 · 20:30M. Kolek45114118113A. Schneeberger4881191192
WAug 5 · 11:00M. Kolek4011711113A. Schneeberger29611481
LAug 1 · 19:00M. Kolek31671171A. Schneeberger4211119113
LJun 5 · 12:30M. Kolek36911881A. Schneeberger3711411113
LMay 10 · 11:30M. Kolek33911491A. Schneeberger4211911113
LApr 16 · 10:00M. Kolek4411851192A. Schneeberger51911119113
LApr 15 · 07:00M. Kolek2458110A. Schneeberger351111133
LMar 13 · 11:00M. Kolek189270A. Schneeberger331111113
M. Kolek10
LOct 3 · 07:00A. Virag1.671051111113M. Kolek2.1012114672WOct 2 · 09:20M. Kolek1.4411117123P. Varecha2.639911101LOct 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.671111143M. Kolek2.1055120LOct 2 · 07:00D. Mikula2.50119117113M. Kolek1.5091161172WOct 2 · 06:30M. Kolek1.83913711113Z. Zientek1.83111111982WSep 28 · 09:30J. Stach1.43119111072M. Kolek2.60511712113WSep 28 · 08:00T. Kraninger1.445511121M. Kolek2.6311116143WSep 28 · 07:00A. Virag1.53114811152M. Kolek2.38711119173LSep 28 · 06:30M. Kolek2.105780J. Stach1.671111113WSep 21 · 08:58M. Kolek1.4011116113P. Kalvar2.75871171
A. Schneeberger10
WSep 27 · 09:01A. Schneeberger1.531111133J. Svec2.3887110LSep 27 · 08:00A. Schneeberger1.80781411102M. Barta1.911111126123WSep 27 · 07:30J. Svec2.2513691152A. Schneeberger1.571111116113LSep 27 · 06:00A. Schneeberger1.919950J. Pleskot1.801111113WSep 26 · 17:00M. Barta2.0239111182A. Schneeberger1.70111165113WSep 26 · 16:30A. Schneeberger1.731115133V. Hruska Sr2.00713110LSep 26 · 15:00A. Schneeberger1.537890M. Barta2.381111113LSep 26 · 14:00M. Chalupnicek1.8311411113A. Schneeberger1.83511961WSep 26 · 03:00A. Schneeberger1.3091111113J. Pelikan3.40115651WSep 26 · 01:30A. Schneeberger1.501111113J. Pelikan2.508760
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