TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Slozka vs Bohdan Chaikovskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:21 and never touched: 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Slozka above · Bohdan Chaikovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 54.4%
60 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Slozka 10–19 Bohdan Chaikovskyi Viktor Slozka has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2154.4%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.2pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-19 in 29
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1719 vs Chaikovskyi 1845
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 60% vs Chaikovskyi 80%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 70% vs Chaikovskyi 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka -1 · Chaikovskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Chaikovskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaikovskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.833 / Chaikovskyi 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chaikovskyi)-0.2pp
Setka Cup · #13219293
Slozka1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Chaikovskyi1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka2wins
AwayChaikovskyi8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka25%1 of 4
AwayChaikovskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka4Chaikovskyi6n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Slozka6Chaikovskyi4n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S3Slozka2Chaikovskyi8n = 10Chaikovskyi took 8 of 10
S4Slozka3Chaikovskyi4n = 7Chaikovskyi took 4 of 7
S5Slozka0Chaikovskyi3n = 3Chaikovskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaChaikovskyiS − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.240.2−2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaChaikovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime389 / 852 vs 420 / 80345.7%52.3%389 / 852 vs 420 / 803Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ChaikovskyiSlozka 1.83/Chaikovskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Chaikovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 02:45V. Slozka48811712102B. Chaikovskyi531191110123
LSep 1 · 20:00V. Slozka48117101192B. Chaikovskyi50811128113
LJul 16 · 17:35V. Slozka30712110B. Chaikovskyi381114133
LJul 15 · 21:00V. Slozka376119111B. Chaikovskyi4311811133
WJul 10 · 05:05V. Slozka4281111123B. Chaikovskyi311146101
LJul 6 · 13:05V. Slozka358111061B. Chaikovskyi4011612113
LJul 5 · 21:15V. Slozka371161281B. Chaikovskyi4151114113
LJul 4 · 22:15V. Slozka47121171162B. Chaikovskyi471021113113
LJul 2 · 14:35V. Slozka2477100B. Chaikovskyi341111123
WJul 1 · 22:30V. Slozka341211113B. Chaikovskyi2510780
V. Slozka10
LSep 30 · 12:35V. Slozka2.5051130I. Sukovatyi1.501113113WSep 29 · 03:15O. Rodin1.801171181V. Slozka1.9151113113LSep 29 · 01:45V. Slozka1.80111011782V. Krokhmal1.91312811113WSep 28 · 23:45R. Konkulovskyi1.83109111172V. Slozka1.83121148113WSep 28 · 21:45I. Hrekh1.615630V. Slozka2.201111113WSep 28 · 20:45M. Loboda1.678760V. Slozka2.101111113LSep 25 · 11:35V. Slozka1.83111251192O. Rodin1.83714117113WSep 25 · 09:35M. Loboda1.6161171182V. Slozka2.20119117113WSep 25 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.579490V. Slozka2.251111113WSep 25 · 06:35V. Slozka1.8310111110113V. Krokhmal1.8312671232
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 30 · 15:35B. Chaikovskyi1.8011811113I. Sukovatyi1.91611461WSep 30 · 13:05B. Chaikovskyi1.50111189113O. Pohonov2.5078111162WSep 30 · 02:00R. Konkulovskyi1.737770B. Chaikovskyi2.001111113LSep 30 · 01:00B. Chaikovskyi1.91111371252O. Rodin1.808151110113WSep 30 · 00:00B. Chaikovskyi1.831111113I. Sukovatyi1.839540WSep 29 · 22:30B. Chaikovskyi1.50871111113A. Romanenko2.5011112692WSep 29 · 20:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5011117113O. Pohonov2.50851191WSep 27 · 01:50O. Pohonov2.38114971B. Chaikovskyi1.5381111113WSep 27 · 00:45B. Chaikovskyi1.5011812113A. Romanenko2.506111041LSep 26 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.8311711642I. Sukovatyi1.83611911113
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