TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Slosarczyk vs Lukasz Oracz 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211411711––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:51 and never touched: 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPawel Slosarczyk above · Lukasz Oracz below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 46 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Lukasz Oracz at 71.2%
46 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 3–6 Lukasz Oracz Pawel Slosarczyk has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:51What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Oracz
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1250 vs Oracz 1341
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 20% vs Oracz 40%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 30% vs Oracz 50%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk -2 · Oracz -3
Oracz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Oracz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 3.00 / Oracz 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Oracz)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13213856
Slosarczyk3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 114 of 373
Down 0–1, comes back13% 28 of 220
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 136
Oracz1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 363 of 577
Up 2–0, closes it97% 202 of 209
Up 1–0, closes it81% 284 of 349
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk3wins
AwayOracz6wins
4 of 9 to a deciderOracz leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk66.7%2 of 3
AwayOracz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk3Oracz6n = 9Oracz took 6 of 9
S2Slosarczyk5Oracz4n = 9Slosarczyk took 5 of 9
S3Slosarczyk2Oracz7n = 9Oracz took 7 of 9
S4Slosarczyk3Oracz3n = 6split evenly
S5Slosarczyk2Oracz2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSlosarczykOraczS − OBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match36.643.3−6.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 924 vs 845 / 153837.9%54.9%350 / 924 vs 845 / 1538Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OraczSlosarczyk 3.00/Oracz 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 28 · 14:20P. Slosarczyk391414113L. Oracz33121290
LJul 28 · 08:10P. Slosarczyk205960L. Oracz331111113
LJun 19 · 21:45P. Slosarczyk26711261L. Oracz4211911113
LJun 19 · 17:45P. Slosarczyk134360L. Oracz331111113
LMay 22 · 01:35P. Slosarczyk43119211102L. Oracz48511119123
WMar 1 · 23:50P. Slosarczyk46141227113L. Oracz501210111162
LMar 1 · 16:10P. Slosarczyk353812121L. Oracz46111110143
WJul 9 · 11:30P. Slosarczyk568121312113L. Oracz541110151082
LJul 9 · 07:10P. Slosarczyk51911812112L. Oracz511161110133
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 28 · 17:05O. Jadach1.6011811113P. Slosarczyk2.22711781LSep 28 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk2.001311781W. Tobiasz1.73111311113WSep 28 · 14:45Y. Fomin1.73710110P. Slosarczyk2.001112133LSep 28 · 13:30R. Niemiec1.98561111113P. Slosarczyk1.7511116962LSep 28 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.703111116113P. Slosarczyk2.0411761882WSep 28 · 11:05Y. Fomin1.66961181P. Slosarczyk2.1011119113WSep 28 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.9011118163W. Tobiasz1.805711141LSep 28 · 08:45O. Jadach1.3512611113P. Slosarczyk2.901011791LSep 28 · 07:30R. Niemiec1.601111113P. Slosarczyk2.227880LSep 28 · 05:55G. Wichowski1.471111113P. Slosarczyk2.408980
L. Oracz10
LSep 29 · 04:20L. Oracz2.30911731J. Pruszkowski1.5511811113LSep 29 · 03:05L. Oracz1.758760D. Dytko1.901111113LSep 29 · 01:30L. Oracz1.7012560O. Sokolowski2.001411113WSep 29 · 00:30M. Adamus2.109970L. Oracz1.651111113WSep 28 · 23:50L. Oracz1.95815611113K. Adamus1.75111311672WSep 28 · 22:20L. Oracz1.8511118113M. Adamus1.80691161WSep 28 · 21:05L. Oracz1.711111113D. Dytko2.004780LSep 28 · 19:55L. Oracz1.651110120O. Sokolowski2.101312143LSep 28 · 18:45J. Pruszkowski1.491411113L. Oracz2.4512960WSep 28 · 17:55L. Oracz1.901311113K. Adamus1.7511990
Upcoming Matches
P. Slosarczyk
Sep 29 · 16:15P. Slosarczyk2.25O. Sokolowski1.57—Sep 29 · 17:45P. Slosarczyk2.25M. Koczyba1.57—Sep 29 · 18:55P. Slosarczyk2.10J. Nowak1.67—Sep 29 · 20:30P. Slosarczyk3.00P. Gumulinski1.36—Sep 29 · 21:45P. Slosarczyk2.25O. Sokolowski1.57—Sep 29 · 22:35P. Slosarczyk3.50L. Oracz1.28—Sep 30 · 00:10P. Slosarczyk3.00P. Gumulinski1.36—Sep 30 · 01:00P. Slosarczyk2.10J. Nowak1.67—Sep 30 · 01:45P. Slosarczyk2.25M. Koczyba1.57—
L. Oracz
Sep 29 · 16:35L. Oracz1.53J. Nowak2.38—Sep 29 · 17:20L. Oracz1.57O. Sokolowski2.25—Sep 29 · 19:20L. Oracz2.00P. Gumulinski1.73—Sep 29 · 20:05L. Oracz2.00M. Koczyba1.73—Sep 29 · 21:00L. Oracz1.50J. Nowak2.50—Sep 29 · 22:35L. Oracz1.28P. Slosarczyk3.50—Sep 29 · 23:20L. Oracz2.00M. Koczyba1.73—Sep 30 · 01:25L. Oracz1.91P. Gumulinski1.80—Sep 30 · 02:10L. Oracz1.57O. Sokolowski2.25—Sep 30 · 21:35L. Oracz—A. Burkacki——
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