TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Slosarczyk vs Oliwier Sokolowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4118111161113––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPawel Slosarczyk above · Oliwier Sokolowski below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 75 set 4, 11-13 · our read held Oliwier Sokolowski at 59.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 12–10 Oliwier Sokolowski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:09What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-10 in 22
Slosarczyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1239 vs Sokolowski 1339
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 20% vs Sokolowski 40%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 30% vs Sokolowski 50%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk -3 · Sokolowski -1
Slosarczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Sokolowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 2.25 / Sokolowski 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Sokolowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13215495
Slosarczyk2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 114 of 373
Down 0–1, comes back13% 28 of 220
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 136
Sokolowski1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 90 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 66 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk6wins
AwaySokolowski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSlosarczyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk100%5 of 5
AwaySokolowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk5Sokolowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Slosarczyk5Sokolowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Slosarczyk4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S4Slosarczyk3Sokolowski4n = 7Sokolowski took 4 of 7
S5Slosarczyk3Sokolowski0n = 3Slosarczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykSokolowskiSlosarczyk − SokolowskiBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.638.8−0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 925 vs 262 / 60337.8%43.5%350 / 925 vs 262 / 603Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSlosarczyk 2.25/Sokolowski 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 22:00P. Slosarczyk4111127113O. Sokolowski366101191
LSep 20 · 18:00P. Slosarczyk35791181O. Sokolowski4111118113
WSep 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk53119157113O. Sokolowski50811131172
LSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2341090O. Sokolowski341112113
LAug 30 · 13:05P. Slosarczyk3810144101O. Sokolowski47121211123
WAug 30 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk471011411113O. Sokolowski4112411772
WAug 26 · 01:00P. Slosarczyk4311118133O. Sokolowski387911111
LAug 25 · 17:45P. Slosarczyk2678110O. Sokolowski351111133
WAug 16 · 08:45P. Slosarczyk331111113O. Sokolowski268990
WAug 1 · 13:05P. Slosarczyk471141110113O. Sokolowski4051151272
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 29 · 15:00P. Slosarczyk3.002470L. Oracz1.361111113LSep 28 · 17:05O. Jadach1.6011811113P. Slosarczyk2.22711781LSep 28 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk2.001311781W. Tobiasz1.73111311113WSep 28 · 14:45Y. Fomin1.73710110P. Slosarczyk2.001112133LSep 28 · 13:30R. Niemiec1.98561111113P. Slosarczyk1.7511116962LSep 28 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.703111116113P. Slosarczyk2.0411761882WSep 28 · 11:05Y. Fomin1.66961181P. Slosarczyk2.1011119113WSep 28 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.9011118163W. Tobiasz1.805711141LSep 28 · 08:45O. Jadach1.3512611113P. Slosarczyk2.901011791LSep 28 · 07:30R. Niemiec1.601111113P. Slosarczyk2.227880
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 29 · 15:25O. Sokolowski2.50521151P. Gumulinski1.5011116113WSep 29 · 04:40D. Dytko1.8399110O. Sokolowski1.871111133LSep 29 · 03:55K. Adamus1.4411916133O. Sokolowski2.6091114111WSep 29 · 01:30L. Oracz1.7012560O. Sokolowski2.001411113LSep 29 · 00:50J. Pruszkowski1.4111117113O. Sokolowski2.70391161WSep 28 · 23:30M. Adamus1.807680O. Sokolowski1.851111113WSep 28 · 22:40D. Dytko1.90114111062O. Sokolowski1.80911712113LSep 28 · 21:55K. Adamus1.421111113O. Sokolowski2.657880WSep 28 · 19:55L. Oracz1.651110120O. Sokolowski2.101312143LSep 28 · 19:10M. Adamus1.801131111113O. Sokolowski1.8571171392
Upcoming Matches
P. Slosarczyk
Sep 29 · 17:45P. Slosarczyk2.25M. Koczyba1.57—Sep 29 · 18:55P. Slosarczyk2.10J. Nowak1.67—Sep 29 · 20:30P. Slosarczyk3.00P. Gumulinski1.36—Sep 29 · 21:45P. Slosarczyk1.91O. Sokolowski1.80—Sep 29 · 22:35P. Slosarczyk3.50L. Oracz1.28—Sep 30 · 00:10P. Slosarczyk3.00P. Gumulinski1.36—Sep 30 · 01:00P. Slosarczyk2.10J. Nowak1.67—Sep 30 · 01:45P. Slosarczyk2.38M. Koczyba1.53—
O. Sokolowski
Sep 29 · 17:20O. Sokolowski2.25L. Oracz1.57—Sep 29 · 18:30O. Sokolowski2.25M. Koczyba1.57—Sep 29 · 19:40O. Sokolowski1.73J. Nowak2.00—Sep 29 · 21:45O. Sokolowski1.80P. Slosarczyk1.91—Sep 29 · 22:55O. Sokolowski2.63P. Gumulinski1.44—Sep 29 · 23:45O. Sokolowski1.73J. Nowak2.00—Sep 30 · 00:35O. Sokolowski2.25M. Koczyba1.57—Sep 30 · 02:10O. Sokolowski2.25L. Oracz1.57—Sep 30 · 22:00O. Sokolowski—M. Jozefiak——Sep 30 · 22:50O. Sokolowski—M. Lebek——
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