TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Vales vs Lukas Jindrak 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116811118––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:02 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Jindrak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Lukas Jindrak @ 1.80 · Lost
How it is goingJakub Vales above · Lukas Jindrak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Lukas Jindrak at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Vales 12–18 Lukas Jindrak Jakub Vales has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 07:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jindrak
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-18 in 30
Jindrak
Wrong
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vales 1873 vs Jindrak 1907
Jindrak
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vales 60% vs Jindrak 80%
Jindrak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vales 70% vs Jindrak 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vales +2 · Jindrak +3
Jindrak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Jindrak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jindrak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVales 1.91 / Jindrak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jindrak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210735
Vales1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 28 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Jindrak1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 76 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it82% 51 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVales3wins
AwayJindrak7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJindrak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVales60%3 of 5
AwayJindrak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vales5Jindrak5n = 10split evenly
S2Vales4Jindrak6n = 10Jindrak took 6 of 10
S3Vales6Jindrak4n = 10Vales took 6 of 10
S4Vales3Jindrak6n = 9Jindrak took 6 of 9
S5Vales1Jindrak3n = 4Jindrak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricValesJindrakV − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.642.4−1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricValesJindrakBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 528 vs 229 / 41554.7%55.2%289 / 528 vs 229 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakVales 1.91/Jindrak 1.80
Miss
What we said
54%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Lukas Jindrak @ 1.80 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Vales won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 12:30J. Vales33781171L. Jindrak4211119113
LSep 22 · 09:02J. Vales4211581172L. Jindrak48911116113
LSep 22 · 08:00J. Vales4361112772L. Jindrak501171011113
WSep 5 · 16:59J. Vales351111133L. Jindrak2476110
LSep 5 · 14:00J. Vales4612911592L. Jindrak481011511113
LJul 29 · 11:30J. Vales379711101L. Jindrak4211118123
WJul 29 · 07:00J. Vales4211128113L. Jindrak336101161
LJun 24 · 08:00J. Vales43101112101L. Jindrak47121310123
LJun 23 · 08:00J. Vales381211781L. Jindrak4414811113
WJun 20 · 17:30J. Vales47118611113L. Jindrak4661111992
J. Vales10
WSep 29 · 07:30J. Kycelt2.251311751J. Vales1.5715411113WSep 29 · 06:00J. Vales1.831161711113E. Mares1.83911151372LSep 24 · 21:28J. Zajicek1.361111113J. Vales3.003530WSep 24 · 20:30E. Mares1.8310111081J. Vales1.8312612113LSep 24 · 19:30J. Vales2.63118891J. Medek1.4481111113WSep 24 · 18:30J. Zajicek1.3613381472J. Vales3.0011111112113WSep 24 · 17:30J. Kycelt2.106740J. Vales1.671111113LSep 24 · 16:30J. Kycelt2.25111110113J. Vales1.57951251WSep 24 · 15:30J. Vales1.501111113T. Postelt2.508530WSep 24 · 14:30V. Koubek2.00125761J. Vales1.73101111113
L. Jindrak10
WSep 29 · 07:00E. Mares2.10981181L. Jindrak1.6711119113WSep 29 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.571411123J. Kycelt2.25126100WSep 26 · 09:30L. Jindrak2.706111211113D. Opanasiuk1.4011614862LSep 26 · 08:00D. Opanasiuk1.4411511113L. Jindrak2.63811941WSep 26 · 07:00M. Huk2.509950L. Jindrak1.501111113WSep 26 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.671111113E. Mares2.107980LSep 22 · 13:30T. Kos1.4891212113L. Jindrak2.4511101071WSep 22 · 12:30J. Vales1.91781171L. Jindrak1.8011119113LSep 22 · 11:30L. Jindrak2.63711118102T. Kos1.44119911123WSep 22 · 10:30E. Mares2.20114531L. Jindrak1.6131111113
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