TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dalimil Machander vs Radomir Vavrecka 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411711118811––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadomir Vavrecka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
411711118811––
H2H Dalimil Machander 4–5 Radomir Vavrecka Dalimil Machander has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 2h before this match
Vavrecka beat Machander 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Machander 1517 vs Vavrecka 1588
Vavrecka
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 20% vs Vavrecka 60%
Vavrecka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 40% vs Vavrecka 60%
Vavrecka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander -2 · Vavrecka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.90 / Vavrecka 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vavrecka)+1.9pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13203305
Machander1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 63 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back33% 27 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back18% 9 of 50
Vavrecka1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 44 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it65% 26 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMachander4wins
AwayVavrecka5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderVavrecka leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachander50%2 of 4
AwayVavrecka60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machander4Vavrecka5n = 9Vavrecka took 5 of 9
S2Machander2Vavrecka7n = 9Vavrecka took 7 of 9
S3Machander5Vavrecka4n = 9Machander took 5 of 9
S4Machander3Vavrecka3n = 6split evenly
S5Machander2Vavrecka1n = 3Machander took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricMachanderVavreckaM − VBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match37.439.1−1.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 390 vs 161 / 30945.6%52.1%178 / 390 vs 161 / 309Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaMachander 1.90/Vavrecka 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 26 · 20:59D. Machander30471181R. Vavrecka4111118113
LSep 26 · 18:00D. Machander5419119782R. Vavrecka591791111113
LSep 23 · 16:00D. Machander351151091R. Vavrecka4171112113
LSep 18 · 19:30D. Machander195950R. Vavrecka331111113
WAug 12 · 14:00D. Machander4211812113R. Vavrecka314111061
LAug 4 · 18:30D. Machander2561180R. Vavrecka351113113
WMay 29 · 09:07D. Machander538111211113R. Vavrecka44111310192
WMay 29 · 06:30D. Machander331111113R. Vavrecka229940
WMay 24 · 15:00D. Machander46751112113R. Vavrecka46111161082
D. Machander10
LSep 26 · 20:59D. Machander2.10471181R. Vavrecka1.6711118113LSep 26 · 20:00D. Machander2.5079100D. Langer1.501111123WSep 26 · 19:30A. Walek1.911011851D. Machander1.8012711113LSep 26 · 18:00D. Machander2.2519119782R. Vavrecka1.571791111113LSep 26 · 09:30P. Slavik1.571114113D. Machander2.2571250WSep 26 · 08:30D. Machander1.531115113L. Velicka2.3881350LSep 26 · 07:00D. Machander1.83711761P. Slavik1.8311611113LSep 26 · 06:00V. Adamczyk2.00114611113D. Machander1.7361111882WSep 25 · 08:58D. Machander2.10119211113D. Oborny1.6741111482WSep 25 · 08:30D. Oborny1.618790D. Machander2.201111113
R. Vavrecka10
WSep 26 · 20:59D. Machander2.10471181R. Vavrecka1.6711118113LSep 26 · 20:30R. Vavrecka1.913750A. Walek1.801111113LSep 26 · 19:00R. Vavrecka2.63119881D. Langer1.4481111113WSep 26 · 18:00D. Machander2.2519119782R. Vavrecka1.571791111113WSep 24 · 20:59L. Velicka2.201110861R. Vavrecka1.6191211113LSep 24 · 20:00R. Vavrecka1.67103130V. Adamczyk2.101211153LSep 24 · 19:30M. Blejchar2.501111113R. Vavrecka1.505680WSep 24 · 18:00R. Vavrecka1.911511113L. Velicka1.8013470WSep 23 · 16:59R. Vavrecka1.331111116113P. Smetka3.2513581162WSep 23 · 16:00R. Vavrecka1.8071112113D. Machander1.911151091
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