TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Grohsgott vs Vojtech Stach 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711117115––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:26 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Vojtech Stach below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 59.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 7–3 Vojtech Stach Vojtech Stach has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Stach beat Grohsgott 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1227 vs Stach 1235
Stach
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 60% vs Stach 40%
Grohsgott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 50% vs Stach 30%
Grohsgott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +2 · Stach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Grohsgott)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.60 / Stach 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Grohsgott)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13201531
Grohsgott1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 135 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it96% 77 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it83% 105 of 126
Stach2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 24 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott7wins
AwayStach3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott77.8%7 of 9
AwayStachn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott9Stach1n = 10Grohsgott took 9 of 10
S2Grohsgott9Stach1n = 10Grohsgott took 9 of 10
S3Grohsgott6Stach4n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S4Grohsgott1Stach4n = 5Stach took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottStachG − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.431.1+7.3per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottStachBasisWin rate · lifetime739 / 1516 vs 73 / 14148.8%51.8%739 / 1516 vs 73 / 141Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.60/Stach 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.1%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 24 · 19:30J. Grohsgott331111113V. Stach174760
WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott351111133V. Stach2238110
WSep 5 · 10:30J. Grohsgott351311113V. Stach2211470
LAug 30 · 02:00J. Grohsgott351411461V. Stach4316511113
LAug 29 · 16:59J. Grohsgott54161210792V. Stach5814101211113
WAug 29 · 16:30J. Grohsgott341111123V. Stach2798100
WAug 27 · 06:00J. Grohsgott4011116123V. Stach272411101
WAug 25 · 22:00J. Grohsgott47111177113V. Stach4057111162
WAug 25 · 08:00J. Grohsgott331111113V. Stach249870
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 26 · 18:00L. Havrda1.6171111113J. Grohsgott2.20117591WSep 26 · 16:00M. Syroha2.0081161572J. Grohsgott1.731191113113WSep 26 · 15:00J. Svec2.009860J. Grohsgott1.731111113LSep 26 · 14:30J. Grohsgott1.3611711762V. Stach3.00511311113LSep 24 · 21:30J. Grohsgott2.10612351M. Varcl1.65111011113WSep 24 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.751412113M. Varcl1.40121070WSep 24 · 19:30V. Stach2.254760J. Grohsgott1.571111113WSep 24 · 18:00J. Grohsgott1.73119137113J. Svec2.00811111122LSep 23 · 17:09M. Novotny1.4112118113J. Grohsgott2.551081171LSep 23 · 16:30L. Havrda1.57711117143J. Grohsgott2.25113711122
V. Stach10
LSep 26 · 18:30M. Syroha2.1011137113V. Stach1.676111151LSep 26 · 16:30J. Svec1.731011119113V. Stach2.0012491192WSep 26 · 15:30V. Stach1.6791111113M. Syroha2.10116431WSep 26 · 14:30J. Grohsgott1.3611711762V. Stach3.00511311113LSep 25 · 17:02V. Stach2.10871161J. Svec1.6711119113LSep 25 · 16:30J. Svec1.8381111113V. Stach1.83119471WSep 25 · 15:30V. Stach1.83125116113L. Havrda1.83101161132LSep 25 · 14:30M. Lubas1.911110118143V. Stach1.80912911122LSep 24 · 20:58J. Svec1.9112811123V. Stach1.8010117101LSep 24 · 19:30V. Stach2.254760J. Grohsgott1.571111113
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