TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Jurowicz vs Mariusz Adamus 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611116117411117
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
611116117411117
H2H Grzegorz Jurowicz 11–17 Mariusz Adamus Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (68%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-17 in 28
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jurowicz 1338 vs Adamus 1343
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jurowicz 40% vs Adamus 20%
Jurowicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jurowicz 50% vs Adamus 20%
Jurowicz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jurowicz -1 · Adamus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJurowicz 2.87 / Adamus 1.37
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Adamus)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13191868
Jurowicz2.87
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 93 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 91
Adamus1.37
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 202 of 378
Up 2–0, closes it88% 74 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it70% 136 of 194
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJurowicz4wins
AwayAdamus6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJurowicz75%3 of 4
AwayAdamus83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jurowicz4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Jurowicz4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Jurowicz2Adamus8n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S4Jurowicz4Adamus3n = 7Jurowicz took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJurowiczAdamusJ − ABasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.037.6−2.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJurowiczAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 806 vs 799 / 163239.6%49%319 / 806 vs 799 / 1632Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusJurowicz 2.87/Adamus 1.37
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 02:10G. Jurowicz4211911113M. Adamus34711791
LSep 22 · 17:20G. Jurowicz2510960M. Adamus341211113
WSep 17 · 22:00G. Jurowicz4111811113M. Adamus31611861
LAug 3 · 13:55G. Jurowicz29125751M. Adamus43101111113
LAug 3 · 07:55G. Jurowicz36911971M. Adamus4011711113
LJul 2 · 13:55G. Jurowicz2575130M. Adamus371111153
WJul 2 · 07:55G. Jurowicz4211119113M. Adamus30571171
WJun 22 · 10:20G. Jurowicz55816711133M. Adamus521114115112
LJun 10 · 16:40G. Jurowicz227690M. Adamus331111113
LJun 10 · 10:40G. Jurowicz33711871M. Adamus4211911113
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 25 · 02:00G. Jurowicz2.454460M. Tkocz1.491111113LSep 25 · 24:45G. Jurowicz3.1551080P. Polok1.301112113LSep 24 · 23:35G. Jurowicz2.7581030M. Lebek1.371112113LSep 24 · 22:25P. Adamus1.581111123G. Jurowicz2.2597100WSep 24 · 21:35G. Jurowicz1.761111113J. Nowak1.977650LSep 24 · 19:10G. Jurowicz2.754470P. Gasiorski1.371111113WSep 24 · 18:00G. Jurowicz2.431111113M. Tkocz1.507890LSep 24 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.95126120M. Koczyba1.701411143LSep 24 · 15:10G. Jurowicz2.2561190K. Juszczyk1.541113113WSep 23 · 02:10G. Jurowicz2.3811911113M. Adamus1.53711791
M. Adamus10
WSep 24 · 19:35M. Adamus2.10101113123K. Juszczyk1.6512511101LSep 24 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.16811611123M. Adamus4.05119117102LSep 24 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.5513912113M. Adamus2.3011111081LSep 24 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.681211113M. Adamus2.0510850LSep 23 · 20:20S. Krupa1.7211911113M. Adamus1.83611891LSep 23 · 19:35K. Hetnar1.6571111123M. Adamus2.101159101WSep 23 · 17:35K. Juszczyk1.857670M. Adamus1.851111113LSep 23 · 16:50M. Koczyba1.601116133M. Adamus2.15714110LSep 23 · 15:10R. Wiza2.4051111113M. Adamus1.50115961LSep 23 · 02:10G. Jurowicz2.3811911113M. Adamus1.53711791
Upcoming Matches
G. Jurowicz
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M. Adamus
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