TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Przewlocki vs Kacper Slawinski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6119111210511––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:33 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 61.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 5–11 Kacper Slawinski Piotr Przewlocki has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Slawinski beat Przewlocki 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1378 vs Slawinski 1446
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 60% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 50% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +2 · Slawinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.50 / Slawinski 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Slawinski)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13177314
Przewlocki2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 134 of 353
Down 0–1, comes back23% 48 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 103
Slawinski1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 138 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it99% 65 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it81% 101 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki3wins
AwaySlawinski7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlawinski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki3Slawinski7n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S2Przewlocki3Slawinski7n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S3Przewlocki3Slawinski7n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S4Przewlocki4Slawinski2n = 6Przewlocki took 4 of 6
S5Przewlocki2Slawinski3n = 5Slawinski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiSlawinskiP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.041.0−4.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime526 / 1104 vs 644 / 104047.6%61.9%526 / 1104 vs 644 / 1040Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiPrzewlocki 2.50/Slawinski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 08:10P. Przewlocki259970K. Slawinski331111113
LSep 15 · 14:20P. Przewlocki219660K. Slawinski331111113
LSep 15 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2411580K. Slawinski351311113
LSep 14 · 14:20P. Przewlocki51111191192K. Slawinski51813118113
WSep 14 · 08:10P. Przewlocki3711312113K. Slawinski388111091
WAug 17 · 11:00P. Przewlocki49148115113K. Slawinski41121131142
LAug 17 · 04:55P. Przewlocki4371161182K. Slawinski46119114113
LAug 12 · 13:55P. Przewlocki2512490K. Slawinski361411113
LAug 5 · 13:55P. Przewlocki48811111172K. Slawinski51117913113
WAug 5 · 04:10P. Przewlocki47611811113K. Slawinski4611811972
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 23 · 12:40P. Polok1.50119911112P. Przewlocki2.50511113133WSep 23 · 11:50W. Urban1.91101090P. Przewlocki1.801212113LSep 23 · 11:00P. Przewlocki2.6311114842S. Szostok1.44781111113WSep 23 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.531411113P. Slosarczyk2.3812740LSep 23 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.209970K. Slawinski1.611111113WSep 23 · 06:30P. Polok1.61116119112P. Przewlocki2.20311611133LSep 23 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk2.2512811113P. Przewlocki1.571011541WSep 23 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.3812511113S. Szostok1.531011591LSep 23 · 03:50P. Przewlocki1.911281111112W. Urban1.801011138133LSep 22 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.911111113P. Przewlocki1.807650
K. Slawinski10
WSep 23 · 13:30S. Szostok1.809128121K. Slawinski1.91111011143LSep 23 · 11:25P. Polok2.101211813113K. Slawinski1.67147111162LSep 23 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk4.0011311123K. Slawinski1.229117101WSep 23 · 09:00W. Urban2.3812119682K. Slawinski1.531091111113WSep 23 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.209970K. Slawinski1.611111113WSep 23 · 07:20S. Szostok2.10613591K. Slawinski1.67111111113LSep 23 · 05:15P. Polok1.911111113K. Slawinski1.808170WSep 23 · 04:30W. Urban2.638911101K. Slawinski1.4411118123LSep 23 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk3.40121110113K. Slawinski1.301091251WSep 22 · 16:20J. Pelka2.908121191K. Slawinski1.3511147113
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