TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
Mizuki Oikawa vs Dang Qiu 1-3 · WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender Astana
Played Sep 19Finished
Mizuki Oikawa
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210411411411––
Dang Qiu
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:35 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeMizuki Oikawa to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMizuki Oikawa above · Dang Qiu below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 67 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Mizuki Oikawa at 55.6%
67 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:35What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Qiu
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Oikawa 60% vs Qiu 40%
Oikawa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oikawa 60% vs Qiu 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oikawa +2 · Qiu +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Qiu) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Qiu form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOikawa 4.33 / Qiu 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Qiu)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13154673
Oikawa4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Qiu1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOikawaQiuBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 5 / 1060%50%6 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
QiuOikawa 4.33/Qiu 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Qiu · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Qiu won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Oikawa10
WSep 18 · 14:00L. Jancarik2.2575100M. Oikawa1.571111123WSep 17 · 08:55M. Oikawa1.73118119113D. Kozul2.0041191162LSep 16 · 13:15K. Stumper2.631111133M. Oikawa1.4424110WSep 15 · 12:04B. Akimali10.008540M. Oikawa1.031111113LSep 3 · 05:00K. Gerassimenko1.671111113M. Oikawa2.107680LJun 19 · 17:10P. Xiang—1114113M. Oikawa—71290LJun 19 · 10:45P. Xiang1.801114113M. Oikawa1.9171290WJun 18 · 16:10J. Groth2.407101161M. Oikawa1.4811127113WJun 18 · 04:00J. Groth2.507101161M. Oikawa1.5011127113WJun 17 · 16:15Y. Huang1.36713471M. Oikawa3.00111111113
D. Qiu10
WSep 20 · 12:45A. Lebrun1.3611511662D. Qiu3.00611511114WSep 20 · 08:00T. Li2.25119971D. Qiu1.5791111113WSep 19 · 12:15K. Jha3.4012119332D. Qiu1.301071111113WSep 18 · 14:00A. Robles7.0065100D. Qiu1.081111123LSep 10 · 04:10D. Qiu1.5391211952Q. Zhou2.381110611113LAug 11 · 16:35D. Qiu1.075720C. Andras7.501111113LAug 8 · 02:45D. Qiu1.401111107113J. Oh2.7557121194WAug 7 · 03:45D. Qiu1.441112113K. Jha2.6381060WAug 4 · 02:00D. Qiu1.5071111133J. An2.501198111LJul 2 · 20:45D. Qiu2.3813990S. Matsushima1.531511113
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