TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana Quals
WTT Star Contender Astana QualsMatch #13141807
Played Sep 17Finished
Yingbin Xu
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811117411116118
Eduard Ionescu
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeYingbin Xu to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYingbin Xu above · Eduard Ionescu below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Yingbin Xu at 77.2%
88 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Xu
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Xu 80% vs Ionescu 0%
Xu
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Xu 80% vs Ionescu 20%
Xu
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Xu +2 · Ionescu -5
Ionescu
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Xu) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ionescu form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsXu 1.50 / Ionescu 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Xu)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana Quals · #13141807
Xu1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest89%takes the first set · 8 of 9
Ionescu2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricXuIonescuBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 2 / 1070%20%7 / 10 vs 2 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.51.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
XuXu 1.50/Ionescu 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Xu · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Xu won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Xu10
WSep 16 · 13:55Y. Xu1.44111197113H. Kwon2.6379111182WSep 16 · 06:00Y. Xu1.011111113A. Markin13.007950LJan 30 · 15:50N. Artemenko2.1011119123Y. Xu1.677811101WJan 30 · 10:55M. Andersen10.00931181Y. Xu1.0311119113WJan 29 · 15:55C. Meissner3.50910110Y. Xu1.281112133LJan 21 · 14:45Y. Xu2.7512891382P. Xiang1.4010111111113WJan 20 · 07:20S. Lam4.006950Y. Xu1.221111113WJan 19 · 16:05Y. Xu1.031111113I. Kharki10.004440WJan 19 · 09:35Y. Xu1.0311119113A. Shulaybi10.00841181LJan 14 · 15:45R. Sipos3.5011117113Y. Xu1.28691141
E. Ionescu10
LAug 12 · 10:35F. Lebrun1.0311118113E. Ionescu10.00451141LJun 29 · 19:00E. Ionescu1.7311761482L. Bardet2.007111112113LJun 18 · 04:00E. Ionescu1.839960J. Hung1.831111113LJun 11 · 16:10E. Ionescu1.53114641A. Bhattacharjee2.3891111113LJun 6 · 10:45A. Lind1.6741111113E. Ionescu2.10116941WJun 4 · 16:40M. Kim2.2098100E. Ionescu1.611111123LMay 6 · 10:45E. Ionescu8.50811341C. Wang1.0511811113WMay 6 · 09:00E. Ionescu4.501111113J. Liang1.175760LMay 4 · 17:40M. Redzimski1.677101111113E. Ionescu2.1011129542LMay 4 · 16:26M. Badowski2.201111113E. Ionescu1.618280
Upcoming Matches
Y. Xu
E. Ionescu
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