TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana Quals
WTT Star Contender Astana QualsMatch #13139005
Played Sep 16Finished
Yingbin Xu
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117119911711118
Hyuk Kwon
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYingbin Xu to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYingbin Xu above · Hyuk Kwon below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Yingbin Xu at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Yingbin Xu 1–0 Hyuk Kwon Hyuk Kwon has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:36What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Xu
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Xu 60% vs Kwon 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Xu 70% vs Kwon 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Xu +1 · Kwon +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Xu) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kwon form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsXu 1.44 / Kwon 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Xu)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana Quals · #13139005
Xu1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
Kwon2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeXu1wins
AwayKwon0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderXu leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricXuKwonX − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.046.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricXuKwonBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 6 / 1070%60%7 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
XuXu 1.44/Kwon 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Xu · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Xu won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 16 · 13:55Y. Xu49111197113H. Kwon4679111182
Y. Xu10
WSep 17 · 15:30Y. Xu1.50811411113E. Ionescu2.5011711682WSep 16 · 06:00Y. Xu1.011111113A. Markin13.007950LJan 30 · 15:50N. Artemenko2.1011119123Y. Xu1.677811101WJan 30 · 10:55M. Andersen10.00931181Y. Xu1.0311119113WJan 29 · 15:55C. Meissner3.50910110Y. Xu1.281112133LJan 21 · 14:45Y. Xu2.7512891382P. Xiang1.4010111111113WJan 20 · 07:20S. Lam4.006950Y. Xu1.221111113WJan 19 · 16:05Y. Xu1.031111113I. Kharki10.004440WJan 19 · 09:35Y. Xu1.0311119113A. Shulaybi10.00841181LJan 14 · 15:45R. Sipos3.5011117113Y. Xu1.28691141
H. Kwon10
WSep 16 · 06:00D. Shi8.5021070H. Kwon1.051112113LSep 10 · 02:00H. Kwon1.17561314102H. Yang4.5011111112123LAug 26 · 16:50J. Martinko3.751111113H. Kwon1.256970WAug 23 · 16:15H. Kwon2.2011611113R. Kawakami1.61211981WAug 23 · 09:10H. Kwon1.85137118133M. Badowski1.851111811112WAug 22 · 17:25H. Kwon1.391111103C. Pletea2.703770WAug 22 · 11:20E. Ranefur1.2011791472H. Kwon4.335111112113WAug 21 · 08:00S. Okano2.007119131H. Kwon1.7311411153LAug 6 · 11:50H. Kwon1.551110791H. Hsu2.2381211113LAug 6 · 03:00H. Kwon1.731110791H. Hsu2.0081211113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Xu
H. Kwon
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.