TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13098551
Played Sep 8Finished
Vincent Picard
Home
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119112911118
Tugay Yilmaz
Away
6.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:25 and never touched — 81.4% is still 81.4%
Graded at full timeVincent Picard to win
81.4%
81.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVincent Picard above · Tugay Yilmaz below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vincent Picard at 81.4%
92 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:25What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Picard
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Picard 40% vs Yilmaz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picard 40% vs Yilmaz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Picard -1 · Yilmaz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Picard) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yilmaz form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicard 1.10 / Yilmaz 6.50
Signal prob.86% / 15%
Edge (Picard)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13098551
Picard1.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Yilmaz6.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicardYilmazBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 4 / 1040%40%4 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PicardPicard 1.10/Yilmaz 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Picard · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Picard won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Picard10
LSep 9 · 09:05V. Picard1.57812151192F. Meng2.251110177113WSep 8 · 14:40V. Picard1.11911119113T. Yilmaz4.7611921182LSep 4 · 06:10V. Picard2.50981171A. Robles1.5011116113WSep 3 · 07:55V. Picard1.221191110113I. Artukmetov4.0021181252LJul 22 · 21:45F. Olivares8.001111116133V. Picard1.06913611112WJul 22 · 14:35D. Toma—9990V. Picard—1111113LJul 11 · 21:50G. Teodoro2.7011111311113V. Picard1.3991315792WJul 11 · 16:20V. Picard1.3051111123A. Naranjo3.401173101WJul 10 · 15:20V. Picard1.011111113B. Botha13.007850LJul 3 · 09:55J. Hung1.501111113V. Picard2.509990
T. Yilmaz10
LSep 8 · 14:40V. Picard1.11911119113T. Yilmaz4.7611921182LSep 8 · 11:40F. Meng1.141111123T. Yilmaz5.0092100LJul 25 · 08:10D. Han—1181011113T. Yilmaz—41112472WJul 24 · 08:25T. Yilmaz—1111113S. Tursinboev—6460LJul 2 · 09:50T. Scholtes—514118113T. Yilmaz—111241172WJul 1 · 13:30T. Yilmaz—1111113K. Othman—1270WJul 1 · 08:20T. Yilmaz—1111113S. Habach—9660WJun 2 · 17:45M. Andersen—851311122T. Yilmaz—1111119143LJun 2 · 10:10H. Kwon1.0581113123T. Yilmaz8.5011611101LJun 1 · 11:55M. Oikawa1.031111113T. Yilmaz10.004540
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