TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Macao
WTT Champions MacaoMatch #13091221
Played Sep 8Finished
Yukiya Uda
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11771112101012611
Chun Ting Wong
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:18 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeChun Ting Wong to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYukiya Uda above · Chun Ting Wong below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 97 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Chun Ting Wong at 55.7%
97 points played in total.
H2H Yukiya Uda 0–1 Chun Ting Wong Yukiya Uda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:18What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Uda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Uda 20% vs Wong 40%
Wong
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Uda 50% vs Wong 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Uda -1 · Wong -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Uda) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wong form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUda 1.25 / Wong 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Uda)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Macao · #13091221
Uda1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Wong3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeUda0wins
AwayWong1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderWong leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricUdaWongU − WBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.051.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUdaWongBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 5 / 1050%50%5 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UdaUda 1.25/Wong 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Uda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wong won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 05:55Y. Uda46117121062C. Wong517111012113
Y. Uda10
LAug 13 · 16:35Y. Uda4.005950T. Harimoto1.221111113WAug 10 · 17:45Y. Uda1.53121112113S. Gauzy2.381051461LAug 4 · 02:00H. Shinozuka2.50911115113Y. Uda1.5011591192LJul 26 · 18:00H. Calderano1.2511151221113Y. Uda3.75517141982LJul 26 · 14:40H. Calderano1.2411151221113Y. Uda3.45517141982WJul 25 · 21:45D. Jorgic1.444760Y. Uda2.631111113WJul 25 · 15:45Y. Uda2.001111113H. Shinozuka1.737160WJul 24 · 21:10Y. Uda1.53119813113Y. Tanaka2.38911111152LJul 3 · 20:10Y. Uda2.38118681W. Jang1.5391111113WJul 1 · 20:00G. Kuo1.831110871Y. Uda1.8341211113
C. Wong10
LSep 11 · 05:55S. Matsushima1.1111711143C. Wong6.008116121LAug 10 · 17:10S. Togami1.221511113C. Wong4.0013370LJul 25 · 14:35C. Wong3.75211661S. Togami1.2211911113WJul 24 · 20:35C. Wong1.06101111133F. Arado8.001289111LJun 30 · 21:20F. Lebrun1.09111111123C. Wong6.507139101WJun 29 · 02:45C. Wong1.61512128113J. Groth2.201110101162LJun 20 · 09:00C. Wong3.75718100D. Qiu1.251120123WJun 19 · 11:20Y. Chen1.4411411982C. Wong2.63411711113WJun 18 · 04:00S. Aida1.83118491C. Wong1.8381111113LJun 10 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.10128118113C. Wong1.67101161122
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