TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Macao
WTT Champions MacaoMatch #13091212
Played Sep 8Finished
Joao Geraldo
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911911––––
Anders Lind
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:17 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeAnders Lind to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJoao Geraldo above · Anders Lind below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Anders Lind at 55.3%
56 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:17What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Lind
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Geraldo 40% vs Lind 60%
Lind
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Geraldo 60% vs Lind 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Geraldo -1 · Lind -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Lind) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lind form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGeraldo 3.75 / Lind 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Lind)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Macao · #13091212
Geraldo3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Lind1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGeraldoLindBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 7 / 1060%70%6 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LindGeraldo 3.75/Lind 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Lind · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lind won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Geraldo10
LAug 13 · 11:45J. Geraldo2.00148951T. Poret1.73121111113WAug 11 · 11:45F. Luu6.509780J. Geraldo1.101111113LAug 6 · 05:00J. Geraldo3.751162101H. Shinozuka1.2591111123WAug 4 · 02:00R. Wen1.11811881J. Geraldo6.0011711113LJul 2 · 19:35F. Lebrun1.081111113J. Geraldo7.007880WJul 1 · 02:45J. Geraldo4.3312116113D. Jorgic1.201091181WJun 29 · 01:00J. Geraldo2.009111011123I. Chirita1.73119124102LMay 23 · 10:45A. Lind1.3381113113J. Geraldo3.251151171WMay 22 · 10:10A. Salifou4.509720J. Geraldo1.171111113WMay 21 · 17:20P. Jain—12890J. Geraldo—1411113
A. Lind10
LSep 10 · 10:30A. Lind5.003660T. Harimoto1.141111113LAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 13 · 11:45A. Lind1.50111146113G. Kuo2.5076111192WAug 11 · 17:45A. Lind1.1112811113M. Kubik6.001011581LAug 6 · 05:00S. Matsushima1.131112113A. Lind5.5091070WAug 4 · 02:00G. Kuo2.3866111192A. Lind1.53111187113LJul 4 · 21:15A. Lind3.5057580S. Matsushima1.28111111114WJul 3 · 01:35C. Wang1.111121171A. Lind6.0013118113WJul 1 · 03:55A. Rassenfosse3.25117991A. Lind1.3391111113WMay 23 · 10:45A. Lind1.3381113113J. Geraldo3.251151171
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