TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12396351
Played Aug 11Finished
Finn Luu
Home
6.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711811––––
Joao Geraldo
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:33 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeJoao Geraldo to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFinn Luu above · Joao Geraldo below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Joao Geraldo at 56.7%
57 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Geraldo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Luu 40% vs Geraldo 60%
Geraldo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Luu 40% vs Geraldo 60%
Geraldo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Luu -3 · Geraldo -1
Luu
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Geraldo) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Geraldo form (60%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLuu 6.50 / Geraldo 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Geraldo)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12396351
Luu6.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Geraldo1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLuuGeraldoBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 6 / 1040%60%4 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GeraldoLuu 6.50/Geraldo 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Geraldo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Geraldo won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Luu10
LJun 28 · 19:35O. Assar1.0715912113F. Luu7.5013111081LMay 5 · 09:35F. Luu10.505470S. Lin1.021111113LApr 30 · 20:00F. Luu4.70611931J. Ri1.1411411113WApr 29 · 13:00F. Luu1.8511117113D. Shu1.85921151WApr 29 · 11:59F. Luu1.8311117113D. Shu1.83921151WApr 28 · 15:59M. Benchat—11116772F. Luu—791111113LApr 21 · 11:00F. Luu1.67111071172J. Oyebode2.10712119113WApr 20 · 17:15F. Luu1.8313811113S. Gilles1.831111761LApr 15 · 16:50L. Pistej1.73111111113F. Luu2.00781351LApr 1 · 10:10C. Wang1.011112113F. Luu15.0041030
J. Geraldo10
LAug 13 · 11:45J. Geraldo2.00148951T. Poret1.73121111113LAug 6 · 05:00J. Geraldo3.751162101H. Shinozuka1.2591111123WAug 4 · 02:00R. Wen1.11811881J. Geraldo6.0011711113LJul 2 · 19:35F. Lebrun1.081111113J. Geraldo7.007880WJul 1 · 02:45J. Geraldo4.3312116113D. Jorgic1.201091181WJun 29 · 01:00J. Geraldo2.009111011123I. Chirita1.73119124102LMay 23 · 10:45A. Lind1.3381113113J. Geraldo3.251151171WMay 22 · 10:10A. Salifou4.509720J. Geraldo1.171111113WMay 21 · 17:20P. Jain—12890J. Geraldo—1411113WMay 21 · 08:00P. Jain3.5012890J. Geraldo1.281411113
Upcoming Matches
F. Luu
Nothing scheduled
J. Geraldo
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