TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals
WTT Contender Almaty Women QualsMatch #13065625
Played Sep 3Finished
Xia Lian Ni
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9116111517––––
Haeun Yang
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeXia Lian Ni to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingXia Lian Ni above · Haeun Yang below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 15-17
Point 69 set 3, 15-17 — our read held Xia Lian Ni at 57.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Xia Lian Ni 0–1 Haeun Yang Xia Lian Ni has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:29What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Yang
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Ni 80% vs Yang 40%
Ni
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ni 50% vs Yang 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ni +1 · Yang -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Yang) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yang form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNi 2.10 / Yang 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Yang)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals · #13065625
Ni2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Yang1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNi0wins
AwayYang1wins
Yang leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricNiYangN − YBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.039.0−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiYangBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 6 / 1050%60%5 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YangNi 2.10/Yang 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Yang · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yang won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 3 · 13:55X. Ni—96150H. Yang—1111173
X. Ni10
WSep 2 · 11:35X. Ni1.05111197113S. Kodirova8.5054111192LAug 9 · 16:10X. Ni1.71117651Y. Peng1.9891111113WAug 9 · 10:55J. Shao1.835550X. Ni1.831111113WAug 9 · 08:35J. Shao1.835550X. Ni1.831111113WAug 8 · 08:45X. Ni1.2081111113Z. Akasheva4.33118681LJun 16 · 08:00S. Das2.251110513123X. Ni1.574121111102LJun 9 · 18:50X. Ni6.501081131S. Shibata1.1012117113WJun 9 · 10:35L. Benko—118501X. Ni—91111113LJun 3 · 14:35X. Ni1.30814119132C. Lutz3.401112711153LJun 2 · 17:20M. Takeya1.8311911113X. Ni1.83611971
H. Yang10
LSep 4 · 13:10M. Hirano1.0811119113H. Yang7.00581181LAug 9 · 13:50S. Das2.5011913133H. Yang1.5071111111WAug 8 · 18:50I. Lupulesku3.40119941H. Yang1.3091111113LJul 2 · 02:10H. Yang13.00711141Y. Wang1.0111119113WJun 30 · 01:00H. Yang1.2511711153A. Zarif3.754118131LMay 6 · 12:45M. Loy1.601111113H. Yang2.153790WMay 4 · 19:16I. Pan10.006330H. Yang1.031111113WMay 2 · 17:15A. Dragoman2.2081111972H. Yang1.61116611113LFeb 22 · 06:20X. Chen1.05611411113H. Yang8.5011711262WFeb 21 · 10:20Y. Wan3.75115541H. Yang1.2591111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.