Xia Lian Ni vs Shoira Kodirova 3-2 — WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals

TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals

WTT Contender Almaty Women QualsMatch #13059547

Played Sep 2Finished

Xia Lian Ni

Home

1.05

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

115114911711119

Shoira Kodirova

Away

8.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

1–1Last 2Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Xia Lian Ni to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingXia Lian Ni above · Shoira Kodirova below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 11-8

Point 89 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Xia Lian Ni at 54.0%

89 points played in total.

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 15:44

What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.05 (89%)

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Form (L5)

Ni 60% vs Kodirova 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Ni 50% vs Kodirova 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Ni -1 · Kodirova +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Ni) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kodirova form (50%) outperforms what odds imply (12%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNi 1.05 / Kodirova 8.50

Signal prob.89% / 11%

Edge (Ni)-0.0pp

WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals · #13059547

Ni1.05

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Kodirova8.50

50%won 1 of 2 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 1 of 2

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricNiKodirovaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 1 / 250%50%5 / 10 vs 1 / 2Avg sets wonper match2.21.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Ni 1.05/Kodirova 8.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

89%

Ni · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Ni won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

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