TT Lossbeater/Champions League
Champions LeagueMatch #13047645
Played Aug 30Finished
Francesc Carrera
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–3Last 4Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
51111951111761
Mykhailo Lovha
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:36 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Lovha to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFrancesc Carrera above · Mykhailo Lovha below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-1
Point 69 set 5, 6-1 — our read held Mykhailo Lovha at 60.1%
69 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lovha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Carrera 25% vs Lovha 60%
Lovha
Wrong
35pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Carrera 25% vs Lovha 80%
Lovha
Wrong
55pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Carrera +1 · Lovha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lovha) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Carrera form (25%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCarrera 2.00 / Lovha 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lovha)+0.3pp
Champions League · #13047645
Carrera2.00
25%won 1 of 4 · last 10
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 2 of 3
Lovha1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCarreraLovhaBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 5 vs 8 / 1020%80%1 / 5 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.22.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LovhaCarrera 2.00/Lovha 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lovha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Carrera won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Carrera5
M. Lovha10
WAug 30 · 14:15M. Duran2.381510111152M. Lovha1.53131213663LAug 29 · 14:20M. Lovha4.331171061R. Brard1.2071112113WAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WMay 26 · 17:24M. Lovha1.1715119113M. Kolodziejczyk4.501361171LApr 20 · 16:40M. Lovha—714381A. Pal—111211113WApr 20 · 08:00M. Lovha4.3361511113H. Deschamps1.201113891WApr 19 · 09:40M. Lovha—911115113V. Kadlec—11491182WApr 18 · 15:45M. Lovha—121138133H. Kunats—1091111112WApr 14 · 11:35M. Lovha—1111123E. Sjogren—69100WApr 13 · 17:50M. Lovha1.0911127133T. Scholtes5.8071011111
Event Chatroom
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