TT Lossbeater/Champions League
Champions LeagueMatch #13047502
Played Aug 30Finished
Francesc Carrera
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
0–3Last 3Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1158111513118––
Stepan Brhel
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:50 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeStepan Brhel to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFrancesc Carrera above · Stepan Brhel below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 82 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Stepan Brhel at 59.2%
82 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:50What took a side2 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Carrera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Carrera 0% vs Brhel 40%
Brhel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Carrera 0% vs Brhel 50%
Brhel
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Carrera -3 · Brhel -2
Carrera
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Carrera) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brhel form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCarrera 1.28 / Brhel 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Carrera)-0.0pp
Champions League · #13047502
Carrera1.28
0%won 0 of 3 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 1 of 2
Brhel3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCarreraBrhelBasisWin rate · lifetime0 / 4 vs 5 / 100%50%0 / 4 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match0.81.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CarreraCarrera 1.28/Brhel 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Carrera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Carrera won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Carrera5
S. Brhel10
LAug 29 · 14:03S. Brhel2.10116671A. Hodaei1.6571111113LAug 5 · 10:55T. Tsai—11114123S. Brhel—1311101WAug 5 · 05:05S. Brhel—11136113S. Tancharoen—4111181WAug 4 · 12:25S. Brhel—11411113C. Choy—911591LJun 3 · 09:45D. Kang—1111113S. Brhel—6860WJun 2 · 11:20Y. Wang1.20117761S. Brhel4.3321111113LJun 1 · 15:25L. Pistej1.361111113S. Brhel3.006850LMay 30 · 18:35S. Aida1.11614119113S. Brhel6.00111281142WMay 30 · 11:20S. Brhel3.2571111113J. Perez1.33117871WMay 29 · 10:55F. Zeljko1.338930S. Brhel3.251111113
Event Chatroom
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