TT Lossbeater/Champions League
Champions LeagueMatch #13047503
Played Aug 30Finished
Marc Duran
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
15131012111311656
Mykhailo Lovha
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Lovha to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarc Duran above · Mykhailo Lovha below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 5-6
Point 94 set 5, 5-6 — our read held Mykhailo Lovha at 57.5%
94 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lovha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Duran 40% vs Lovha 60%
Lovha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Duran 40% vs Lovha 70%
Lovha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Duran -1 · Lovha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lovha) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuran 2.38 / Lovha 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Lovha)+0.0pp
Champions League · #13047503
Duran2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Lovha1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuranLovhaBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 7 / 1040%70%4 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.82.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LovhaDuran 2.38/Lovha 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Lovha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lovha won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Duran10
LAug 29 · 14:15M. Duran—86131102Q. Robinot—111111663WAug 28 · 14:00R. Brard—131011552M. Duran—111241163LMay 27 · 08:20T. Martinko1.671111123M. Duran2.1027100WMay 26 · 12:30S. Pande1.8371111952M. Duran1.83119811113LMay 26 · 11:00M. Duran1.838690D. Prusa1.831111113LMay 26 · 09:30M. Duran1.8311138442M. Mutti1.837111111113LMay 26 · 07:30M. Duran1.8311561192R. Rezetka1.83711119113WMay 24 · 18:30S. Berglund2.00911991M. Duran1.7311711103LMay 24 · 14:30A. Gavlas1.251111113M. Duran3.755740WMay 23 · 22:41M. Duran1.731211113M. Golab2.0010880
M. Lovha10
LAug 30 · 14:45F. Carrera2.0051151163M. Lovha1.7311911712LAug 29 · 14:20M. Lovha4.331171061R. Brard1.2071112113WAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WMay 26 · 17:24M. Lovha1.1715119113M. Kolodziejczyk4.501361171LApr 20 · 16:40M. Lovha—714381A. Pal—111211113WApr 20 · 08:00M. Lovha4.3361511113H. Deschamps1.201113891WApr 19 · 09:40M. Lovha—911115113V. Kadlec—11491182WApr 18 · 15:45M. Lovha—121138133H. Kunats—1091111112WApr 14 · 11:35M. Lovha—1111123E. Sjogren—69100WApr 13 · 17:50M. Lovha1.0911127133T. Scholtes5.8071011111
Event Chatroom
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