TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12390414
Played Aug 9Finished
Wim Verdonschot
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911511118811––
Csaba Andras
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeCsaba Andras to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWim Verdonschot above · Csaba Andras below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Csaba Andras at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:16What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Verdonschot
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Verdonschot 60% vs Andras 80%
Andras
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Verdonschot 70% vs Andras 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Verdonschot +2 · Andras +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Verdonschot) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Andras form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVerdonschot 1.44 / Andras 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Verdonschot)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12390414
Verdonschot1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Andras2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVerdonschotAndrasBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 7 / 1070%70%7 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.62.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VerdonschotVerdonschot 1.44/Andras 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Verdonschot · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Andras won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
W. Verdonschot10
WAug 9 · 13:15W. Verdonschot1.171111113G. Teodoro4.503760WAug 8 · 16:30W. Verdonschot1.301111113J. Perez3.403730LJul 24 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.3811651172T. Poret1.53411118113WJul 23 · 07:00W. Verdonschot1.7311116113J. Rolland2.00581151LJun 12 · 10:10J. Lim1.61511117113W. Verdonschot2.2011811162WJun 11 · 16:10W. Verdonschot1.67711119113A. Gacina2.1011781152WJun 10 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.10128118113C. Wong1.67101161122WJun 10 · 11:30W. Verdonschot2.63118119113T. Li1.4471171192WJun 9 · 15:20W. Verdonschot—16117113A. Mamay—1441161LMay 23 · 17:25W. Verdonschot1.5791011131C. Nuytinck2.2511126153
C. Andras10
LAug 13 · 10:35C. Andras2.1011850O. Assar1.671311113WAug 11 · 16:35D. Qiu1.075720C. Andras7.501111113WAug 9 · 13:15E. Ly4.5011480C. Andras1.171311113WAug 8 · 17:40A. Sareen5.50129111082C. Andras1.131011912113LJun 30 · 01:35D. Qiu1.131111113C. Andras5.503820WJun 28 · 01:05Y. Feng1.4097111172C. Andras2.75111119113WJun 27 · 02:50T. Apolonia1.481241071C. Andras2.42101112113LJun 17 · 10:10L. Yuan1.20116114113C. Andras4.3371141192WJun 16 · 15:00S. Walker2.633121191C. Andras1.4411146113LJun 10 · 17:00G. Kuo1.4461111113C. Andras2.63112661
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