TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12380294
Played Aug 8Finished
Aditya Sareen
Home
5.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12109111191012811
Csaba Andras
Away
1.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:37 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%
Graded at full timeCsaba Andras to win
83.0%
83.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAditya Sareen above · Csaba Andras below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 103 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Csaba Andras at 83.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Aditya Sareen 0–1 Csaba Andras Aditya Sareen has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Andras
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Sareen 20% vs Andras 60%
Andras
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sareen 40% vs Andras 60%
Andras
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sareen -4 · Andras -1
Sareen
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Andras)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Andras form (60%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSareen 5.50 / Andras 1.13
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Andras)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12380294
Sareen5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Andras1.13
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSareen0wins
AwayAndras1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderAndras leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSareenAndrasS − ABasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.053.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSareenAndrasBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 6 / 1040%60%4 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AndrasSareen 5.50/Andras 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Andras · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Andras won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 8 · 17:40A. Sareen—129111082C. Andras—1011912113
A. Sareen10
LJun 26 · 17:00C. Liao1.201114123113A. Sareen4.331312101162LMay 5 · 09:15A. Sareen11.009120C. Wang1.021111113LApr 30 · 20:40A. Sareen1.551141110102T. U2.25911912123LApr 30 · 19:30A. Sareen1.571141110102T. U2.25911912123WApr 29 · 13:40A. Sareen1.161111113T. Choi4.407770WApr 29 · 12:29A. Sareen1.171111113T. Choi4.507770WApr 28 · 17:15S. Karam—9710A. Sareen—1111113LApr 20 · 16:35S. Jang1.221111113A. Sareen3.805580LApr 16 · 10:55G. Gomez1.671111113A. Sareen2.106590WApr 15 · 16:50A. Vilardell1.255870A. Sareen3.751111113
C. Andras10
LAug 13 · 10:35C. Andras2.1011850O. Assar1.671311113WAug 11 · 16:35D. Qiu1.075720C. Andras7.501111113WAug 9 · 17:55W. Verdonschot1.44951181C. Andras2.6311118113WAug 9 · 13:15E. Ly4.5011480C. Andras1.171311113LJun 30 · 01:35D. Qiu1.131111113C. Andras5.503820WJun 28 · 01:05Y. Feng1.4097111172C. Andras2.75111119113WJun 27 · 02:50T. Apolonia1.481241071C. Andras2.42101112113LJun 17 · 10:10L. Yuan1.20116114113C. Andras4.3371141192WJun 16 · 15:00S. Walker2.633121191C. Andras1.4411146113LJun 10 · 17:00G. Kuo1.4461111113C. Andras2.63112661
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