TT Lossbeater/WTT United States Smash Quals
WTT United States Smash QualsMatch #12106049
Played Jun 26Finished
Cheng-Ting Liao
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111314121210311116
Aditya Sareen
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingCheng-Ting Liao above · Aditya Sareen below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 10-5
Point 101 set 5, 10-5
101 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Liao)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sareen form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLiao 1.20 / Sareen 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Liao)-0.0pp
WTT United States Smash Quals · #12106049
Liao1.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Sareen4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiaoSareenBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 4 / 1030%40%3 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LiaoLiao 1.20/Sareen 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Liao · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Liao won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
C. Liao10
LJun 27 · 24:30J. Lim1.20141112113C. Liao4.3312131071LFeb 19 · 12:05C. Liao2.638790M. Falck1.441111113LNov 26 · 11:20C. Liao1.7371181182F. Bourrassaud2.00117119113WNov 25 · 19:00C. Liao1.3361111103J. Monteiro3.25114291LSep 25 · 06:40T. Jarvis1.8311189133C. Liao1.8341611111LAug 31 · 08:20C. Liao1.831011591T. Closset1.8312711113WAug 30 · 09:15A. Klajber2.2512118111C. Liao1.5714811133LAug 29 · 09:40C. Liao1.8329111422P. Chodorski1.83111171263LAug 29 · 08:00C. Liao1.8312911852P. Chojnowski1.83101191163LAug 17 · 16:50C. Liao2.009880M. Redzimski1.731111113
A. Sareen10
LAug 8 · 17:40A. Sareen5.50129111082C. Andras1.131011912113LMay 5 · 09:15A. Sareen11.009120C. Wang1.021111113LApr 30 · 20:40A. Sareen1.551141110102T. U2.25911912123LApr 30 · 19:30A. Sareen1.571141110102T. U2.25911912123WApr 29 · 13:40A. Sareen1.161111113T. Choi4.407770WApr 29 · 12:29A. Sareen1.171111113T. Choi4.507770WApr 28 · 17:15S. Karam—9710A. Sareen—1111113LApr 20 · 16:35S. Jang1.221111113A. Sareen3.805580LApr 16 · 10:55G. Gomez1.671111113A. Sareen2.106590WApr 15 · 16:50A. Vilardell1.255870A. Sareen3.751111113
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