TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12283672
Played Jul 23Finished
Wim Verdonschot
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115118611115––
Jules Rolland
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWim Verdonschot to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWim Verdonschot above · Jules Rolland below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-5
Point 64 set 4, 7-5 — our read held Wim Verdonschot at 54.0%
64 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Wim Verdonschot 1–0 Jules Rolland Jules Rolland has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Verdonschot
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Verdonschot 80% vs Rolland 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Verdonschot 70% vs Rolland 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Verdonschot -1 · Rolland +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Verdonschot)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolland form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVerdonschot 1.73 / Rolland 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Verdonschot)+0.3pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12283672
Verdonschot1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Rolland2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVerdonschot1wins
AwayRolland0wins
Verdonschot leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVerdonschotRollandV − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.029.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVerdonschotRollandBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 7 / 1070%70%7 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.62.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VerdonschotVerdonschot 1.73/Rolland 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Verdonschot · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Verdonschot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 23 · 07:00W. Verdonschot—11116113J. Rolland—581151
W. Verdonschot10
LAug 9 · 17:55W. Verdonschot1.44951181C. Andras2.6311118113WAug 9 · 13:15W. Verdonschot1.171111113G. Teodoro4.503760WAug 8 · 16:30W. Verdonschot1.301111113J. Perez3.403730LJul 24 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.3811651172T. Poret1.53411118113LJun 12 · 10:10J. Lim1.61511117113W. Verdonschot2.2011811162WJun 11 · 16:10W. Verdonschot1.67711119113A. Gacina2.1011781152WJun 10 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.10128118113C. Wong1.67101161122WJun 10 · 11:30W. Verdonschot2.63118119113T. Li1.4471171192WJun 9 · 15:20W. Verdonschot—16117113A. Mamay—1441161LMay 23 · 17:25W. Verdonschot1.5791011131C. Nuytinck2.2511126153
J. Rolland10
LJul 5 · 10:20N. Artemenko1.831111113J. Rolland1.837340WJul 5 · 10:20A. Yigenler3.5091230J. Rolland1.231114113WJul 5 · 08:10J. Hung1.8068100J. Rolland1.801111123WJul 4 · 15:50J. Monteiro2.908880J. Rolland1.351111113WJul 4 · 10:55A. Yigenler4.5091230J. Rolland1.171114113WJul 3 · 15:50F. Zeljko2.75851121J. Rolland1.4011116113LJun 16 · 15:35J. Rolland1.20131110882F. Zeljko4.331171211113LJun 4 · 18:25A. Robles2.101111113J. Rolland1.678970WJun 3 · 15:10J. Rolland1.171111103M. Elbeiali4.507840WJun 2 · 16:10J. Rolland1.17881111113D. Levajac4.5011114652
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