TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12382541
Played Aug 9Finished
Ivor Ban
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Vladislav Ursu
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeVladislav Ursu to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvor Ban above · Vladislav Ursu below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Vladislav Ursu at 55.6%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ivor Ban 0–2 Vladislav Ursu Ivor Ban has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Ursu
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Ban 40% vs Ursu 80%
Ursu
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ban 40% vs Ursu 70%
Ursu
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ban -1 · Ursu +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Ursu) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBan 2.75 / Ursu 1.36
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Ursu)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12382541
Ban2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Ursu1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBan0wins
AwayUrsu2wins
Ursu leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricBanUrsuB − UBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.033.0−8.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBanUrsuBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 7 / 1040%70%4 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.62.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrsuBan 2.75/Ursu 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Ursu · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ursu won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 9 · 12:05I. Ban—9790V. Ursu—1111113
LAug 9 · 09:10I. Ban—9790V. Ursu—1111113
I. Ban10
LAug 9 · 09:10I. Ban3.009790V. Ursu1.361111113WAug 8 · 09:20I. Ban1.571011118113N. Stoyanov2.2512451182LJul 4 · 12:05I. Ban1.82119117102J. Monteiro1.82711711123LJul 4 · 10:20I. Ban1.61119117102J. Monteiro2.20711711113WJul 3 · 15:50I. Ban1.61741119123D. Berzosa2.201111817102LJun 16 · 09:45H. Kwon1.831111123I. Ban1.8373100LJun 10 · 23:00I. Ban4.5086110D. Qiu1.171111133WJun 2 · 17:55L. Nodrest1.2610390I. Ban3.501211113WJun 2 · 10:10I. Ban1.011111113K. Stanojkovski15.005470LJun 1 · 15:00I. Ban2.0041180H. Hsu1.731113113
V. Ursu10
WSep 2 · 16:59A. Abbasi6.004940V. Ursu1.111111113LSep 2 · 16:19S. Kulczycki4.5099111163V. Ursu1.17111181052WAug 29 · 08:29V. Ursu1.021111123J. Goldir9.2538100WAug 28 · 09:35V. Ursu1.171111113G. Camara4.507650WAug 28 · 08:18V. Ursu1.131111123T. Giovannetti5.5039100LAug 9 · 16:10I. Chirita1.8511115153V. Ursu1.854811131LAug 9 · 15:35C. Chirita1.8311115122V. Ursu1.834811121WAug 9 · 09:10I. Ban3.009790V. Ursu1.361111113WAug 8 · 09:55L. Iizuka6.009560V. Ursu1.111111113LJun 29 · 01:35Y. Uda1.03711611113V. Ursu8.5011911672
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.