TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12379604
Played Aug 8Finished
Ivor Ban
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012114115811118
Niagol Stoyanov
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeIvor Ban to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvor Ban above · Niagol Stoyanov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ivor Ban at 58.9%
91 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:00What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Ban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Ban 20% vs Stoyanov 40%
Stoyanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ban 50% vs Stoyanov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ban -2 · Stoyanov -3
Stoyanov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Ban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ban form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBan 1.57 / Stoyanov 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Ban)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12379604
Ban1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Stoyanov2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBanStoyanovBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 5 / 1050%50%5 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BanBan 1.57/Stoyanov 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Ban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ban won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Ban10
LAug 9 · 12:05I. Ban2.759790V. Ursu1.361111113LAug 9 · 09:10I. Ban3.009790V. Ursu1.361111113LJul 4 · 12:05I. Ban1.82119117102J. Monteiro1.82711711123LJul 4 · 10:20I. Ban1.61119117102J. Monteiro2.20711711113WJul 3 · 15:50I. Ban1.61741119123D. Berzosa2.201111817102LJun 16 · 09:45H. Kwon1.831111123I. Ban1.8373100LJun 10 · 23:00I. Ban4.5086110D. Qiu1.171111133WJun 2 · 17:55L. Nodrest1.2610390I. Ban3.501211113WJun 2 · 10:10I. Ban1.011111113K. Stanojkovski15.005470LJun 1 · 15:00I. Ban2.0041180H. Hsu1.731113113
N. Stoyanov10
LJun 10 · 01:50N. Stoyanov2.30751181K. Yiu1.5511115113LJun 9 · 16:30N. Stoyanov2.25751181K. Yiu1.5711115113LMay 24 · 08:35N. Stoyanov2.20117101182C. Nuytinck1.61911127113WMay 23 · 16:50Y. Lin1.259970N. Stoyanov3.751111113WMay 23 · 11:20N. Stoyanov3.4071311113F. Bourrassaud1.301111961WMay 22 · 10:05B. Fruchart2.20124961N. Stoyanov1.61101111113LApr 21 · 17:25L. Pistej1.281013116133N. Stoyanov3.501211911112WApr 21 · 11:00N. Stoyanov2.25111011123A. Pal1.578124101WApr 20 · 17:25N. Stoyanov1.377111011113S. Palusek2.7511912862LApr 15 · 17:25N. Stoyanov2.50510100V. Picard1.501112123
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