TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12379627
Played Aug 8Finished
Leonardo Kenzo Iizuka
Home
6.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511611––––
Vladislav Ursu
Away
1.11
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeVladislav Ursu to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLeonardo Kenzo Iizuka above · Vladislav Ursu below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Vladislav Ursu at 76.6%
53 points played in total.
H2H Leonardo Kenzo Iizuka 0–1 Vladislav Ursu Leonardo Kenzo Iizuka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Ursu
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Iizuka 20% vs Ursu 60%
Ursu
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Iizuka 20% vs Ursu 60%
Ursu
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Iizuka -4 · Ursu -1
Iizuka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Ursu) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ursu form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIizuka 6.00 / Ursu 1.11
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Ursu)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12379627
Iizuka6.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Ursu1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeIizuka0wins
AwayUrsu1wins
Ursu leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricIizukaUrsuI − UBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIizukaUrsuBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 10 vs 6 / 1020%60%2 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.02.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrsuIizuka 6.00/Ursu 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.4%
Ursu · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ursu won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 8 · 09:55L. Iizuka—9560V. Ursu—1111113
L. Iizuka10
LJul 23 · 21:45L. Iizuka2.608970S. Lam1.411111113LJul 23 · 07:00L. Iizuka2.508970S. Lam1.501111113LJul 10 · 15:55L. Iizuka1.4414571172N. Tauler2.631211118113LJun 27 · 18:45C. Kao1.1311115113L. Iizuka5.50861191WJun 26 · 19:55L. Iizuka1.531111163A. Salifou2.3889140LMay 22 · 08:00V. Sidorenko1.141112113L. Iizuka5.0051090LMay 18 · 12:55L. Iizuka3.259390W. Verdonschot1.331111113LMay 18 · 11:40L. Iizuka3.099390W. Verdonschot1.301111113WMay 17 · 11:55L. Iizuka1.40111111113E. Vos2.75813561LMay 8 · 20:15L. Iizuka8.50133471A. Lebrun1.05111111113
V. Ursu10
WSep 2 · 16:59A. Abbasi6.004940V. Ursu1.111111113LSep 2 · 16:19S. Kulczycki4.5099111163V. Ursu1.17111181052WAug 29 · 08:29V. Ursu1.021111123J. Goldir9.2538100WAug 28 · 09:35V. Ursu1.171111113G. Camara4.507650WAug 28 · 08:18V. Ursu1.131111123T. Giovannetti5.5039100LAug 9 · 16:10I. Chirita1.8511115153V. Ursu1.854811131LAug 9 · 15:35C. Chirita1.8311115122V. Ursu1.834811121WAug 9 · 12:05I. Ban2.759790V. Ursu1.361111113WAug 9 · 09:10I. Ban3.009790V. Ursu1.361111113LJun 29 · 01:35Y. Uda1.03711611113V. Ursu8.5011911672
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