TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Kostal vs Kyryl Darin 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Jun 9Finished
Marek Kostal
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911117116911511
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMarek Kostal above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-10
Point 72 set 4, 7-10
72 points drawn · the score is 19 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Marek Kostal 7–0 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kostal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostal 1.25 / Darin 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Kostal)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12004332
Kostal1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 96 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it84% 71 of 85
Darin3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 179 of 411
Down 0–1, comes back25% 58 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back13% 17 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKostal7wins
AwayDarin0wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKostal leads 7–0, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKostal100%7 of 7
AwayDarinn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kostal7Darin0n = 7Kostal took 7 of 7
S2Kostal5Darin2n = 7Kostal took 5 of 7
S3Kostal5Darin2n = 7Kostal took 5 of 7
S4Kostal3Darin1n = 4Kostal took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKostalDarinK − DBasisWins70+7in 7 meetingsFirst set70+7of 7Avg pointsper match37.728.9+8.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostalDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime403 / 782 vs 948 / 192551.5%49.3%403 / 782 vs 948 / 1925Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KostalKostal 1.25/Darin 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79%
Kostal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJun 7 · 08:30M. Kostal351111133K. Darin2494110
WJun 5 · 12:00M. Kostal3711411113K. Darin28511751
WJun 2 · 12:00M. Kostal3711114113K. Darin30871141
WMay 29 · 08:30M. Kostal481111105113K. Darin4595121182
WMay 27 · 07:00M. Kostal331111113K. Darin269980
WNov 4 · 10:00M. Kostal4111811113K. Darin33811861
WNov 4 · 08:00M. Kostal331111113K. Darin164750
M. Kostal10
WJun 17 · 13:00J. Dedek2.20111131172M. Kostal1.61771113113LJun 17 · 12:30M. Kostal1.80127791D. Parhomenko1.91101111113WJun 17 · 11:00M. Kostal1.6711119113J. Dedek2.10291171LJun 17 · 10:00K. Darin3.251111113M. Kostal1.338920WJun 9 · 03:28J. Dedek2.001581351M. Kostal1.73131115113WJun 9 · 00:30M. Vedmoch1.839830M. Kostal1.831111113WJun 8 · 23:30D. Parhomenko1.8397111162M. Kostal1.83111159113LJun 8 · 22:30M. Kostal1.671110158102J. Dedek2.108121311123WJun 8 · 13:00M. Kostal1.83111148113M. Vesely1.8329111172LJun 8 · 12:00M. Kostal1.2011118792K. Darin4.33411111113
K. Darin10
WSep 26 · 03:30K. Darin1.441116113O. Kucirek2.6331470WSep 26 · 02:30K. Darin1.501112113O. Kucirek2.5021070WSep 26 · 01:30T. Andrle2.0011911542K. Darin1.73911711113WSep 26 · 00:00K. Darin1.671111113P. Picek2.107650WSep 25 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.755540K. Darin1.401111113LSep 25 · 13:30K. Darin1.6361211992J. Steffan2.151110511113WSep 25 · 12:00K. Darin1.4411117113L. Malek2.63581191WSep 25 · 11:30A. Svoboda2.505116101K. Darin1.5011811123WJun 17 · 10:00K. Darin3.251111113M. Kostal1.338920WJun 8 · 12:00M. Kostal1.2011118792K. Darin4.33411111113
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