TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Julius Lazar vs Vladimir Cermak 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played May 28Finished
Julius Lazar
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111210118411118
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJulius Lazar above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8
95 points played in total.
H2H Julius Lazar 3–7 Vladimir Cermak Julius Lazar has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Cermak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lazar form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLazar 2.50 / Cermak 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Cermak)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11952166
Lazar2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 13 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Cermak1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 166 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it97% 82 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it79% 118 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLazar3wins
AwayCermak7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCermak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLazar28.6%2 of 7
AwayCermak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lazar7Cermak3n = 10Lazar took 7 of 10
S2Lazar3Cermak7n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S3Lazar0Cermak10n = 10Cermak took 10 of 10
S4Lazar3Cermak5n = 8Cermak took 5 of 8
S5Lazar2Cermak1n = 3Lazar took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLazarCermakL − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match32.540.5−8.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLazarCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 175 vs 701 / 134250.9%52.2%89 / 175 vs 701 / 1342Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakLazar 2.50/Cermak 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.5%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lazar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 11 · 06:30J. Lazar—3V. Cermak—1
LFeb 26 · 18:29J. Lazar—1V. Cermak—3
WFeb 26 · 17:30J. Lazar—3V. Cermak—2
LJun 18 · 16:30J. Lazar—1V. Cermak—3
WMar 12 · 09:00J. Lazar—3V. Cermak—2
LFeb 20 · 10:00J. Lazar—0V. Cermak—3
LFeb 20 · 08:00J. Lazar—1V. Cermak—3
LJan 22 · 15:00J. Lazar—2V. Cermak—3
LJan 8 · 10:30J. Lazar—0V. Cermak—3
LJan 8 · 08:30J. Lazar—1V. Cermak—3
J. Lazar10
LMay 28 · 09:30V. Cermak1.61111111113J. Lazar2.20813861LMay 28 · 07:00J. Lazar1.618950M. Vedmoch2.201111113WMay 28 · 06:00M. Kostal1.617690J. Lazar2.201111113WMay 14 · 17:30J. Lazar2.20114911113T. Vinter1.6181111952WMay 14 · 16:30J. Prokupek2.10111030J. Lazar1.671312113WMay 14 · 15:30J. Lazar2.25111174113T. Vinter1.5788111192WMay 14 · 14:30R. Pavelka2.2079100J. Lazar1.611111123WMay 12 · 17:00T. Dousa1.50116491J. Lazar2.5091111113LMay 12 · 16:00J. Lazar2.20791181T. Barta1.6111117113LMay 12 · 15:30B. Nguyen1.7314112123J. Lazar2.0012811101
V. Cermak10
LSep 26 · 03:00V. Cermak2.2512691172D. Kouble1.571011114113LSep 26 · 02:30T. Janata1.671111113V. Cermak2.107360WSep 26 · 01:00V. Postelt2.108690V. Cermak1.671111113LSep 25 · 23:30V. Cermak1.4011961172M. Vedmoch2.75811119113WSep 25 · 22:00V. Cermak2.0011611113D. Kouble1.73811871WSep 25 · 02:58M. Vedmoch2.5036100V. Cermak1.501111123LSep 25 · 02:30D. Tuma2.00111155113V. Cermak1.7386111142LSep 25 · 01:00D. Kouble1.611111153V. Cermak2.2084130WSep 24 · 23:30V. Cermak1.5771111113F. Just2.25117731WMay 28 · 09:30V. Cermak1.61111111113J. Lazar2.20813861
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