TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Kostal vs Julius Lazar 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played May 28Finished
Marek Kostal
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611911––––
Julius Lazar
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
How it is goingMarek Kostal above · Julius Lazar below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kostal 8–6 Julius Lazar Julius Lazar has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lazar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lazar form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostal 1.61 / Lazar 2.20
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lazar)+11.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11950863
Kostal1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 91 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it85% 67 of 79
Lazar2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 15 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back39% 7 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKostal7wins
AwayLazar3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKostal leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKostal83.3%5 of 6
AwayLazar50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kostal6Lazar4n = 10Kostal took 6 of 10
S2Kostal6Lazar4n = 10Kostal took 6 of 10
S3Kostal5Lazar5n = 10split evenly
S4Kostal4Lazar3n = 7Kostal took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKostalLazarK − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.236.2+1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostalLazarBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 748 vs 90 / 17751.3%50.9%384 / 748 vs 90 / 177Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LazarKostal 1.61/Lazar 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lazar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lazar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 28 · 06:00M. Kostal—0J. Lazar—3
WDec 29 · 10:30M. Kostal—3J. Lazar—1
WDec 29 · 07:30M. Kostal—3J. Lazar—1
WNov 11 · 18:30M. Kostal—3J. Lazar—0
WNov 11 · 17:00M. Kostal—3J. Lazar—2
LOct 30 · 10:30M. Kostal—1J. Lazar—3
WOct 30 · 08:00M. Kostal—3J. Lazar—0
LOct 29 · 08:00M. Kostal—1J. Lazar—3
WAug 25 · 09:30M. Kostal—3J. Lazar—2
WAug 25 · 06:30M. Kostal—3J. Lazar—1
M. Kostal10
WJun 17 · 13:00J. Dedek2.20111131172M. Kostal1.61771113113LJun 17 · 12:30M. Kostal1.80127791D. Parhomenko1.91101111113WJun 17 · 11:00M. Kostal1.6711119113J. Dedek2.10291171LJun 17 · 10:00K. Darin3.251111113M. Kostal1.338920WJun 9 · 03:28J. Dedek2.001581351M. Kostal1.73131115113LJun 9 · 01:30M. Kostal1.2591111952K. Darin3.75117611113WJun 9 · 00:30M. Vedmoch1.839830M. Kostal1.831111113WJun 8 · 23:30D. Parhomenko1.8397111162M. Kostal1.83111159113LJun 8 · 22:30M. Kostal1.671110158102J. Dedek2.108121311123WJun 8 · 13:00M. Kostal1.83111148113M. Vesely1.8329111172
J. Lazar10
LMay 28 · 09:30V. Cermak1.61111111113J. Lazar2.20813861WMay 28 · 08:30J. Lazar2.50912114113V. Cermak1.50111081182LMay 28 · 07:00J. Lazar1.618950M. Vedmoch2.201111113WMay 14 · 17:30J. Lazar2.20114911113T. Vinter1.6181111952WMay 14 · 16:30J. Prokupek2.10111030J. Lazar1.671312113WMay 14 · 15:30J. Lazar2.25111174113T. Vinter1.5788111192WMay 14 · 14:30R. Pavelka2.2079100J. Lazar1.611111123WMay 12 · 17:00T. Dousa1.50116491J. Lazar2.5091111113LMay 12 · 16:00J. Lazar2.20791181T. Barta1.6111117113LMay 12 · 15:30B. Nguyen1.7314112123J. Lazar2.0012811101
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