TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Miroslav Horejsi vs Adrian Wiecek 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played May 26Finished
Miroslav Horejsi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711611117114
Adrian Wiecek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMiroslav Horejsi above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 88 set 5, 11-4
88 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Horejsi 4–1 Adrian Wiecek Adrian Wiecek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Horejsi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiecek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorejsi 1.73 / Wiecek 2.00
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Horejsi)+11.0pp
TT Elite Series · #11941672
Horejsi1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Wiecek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 109 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back20% 25 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeHorejsi4wins
AwayWiecek1wins
4 of 5 to a deciderHorejsi leads 4–1, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorejsin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWiecek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horejsi2Wiecek3n = 5Wiecek took 3 of 5
S2Horejsi3Wiecek2n = 5Horejsi took 3 of 5
S3Horejsi3Wiecek2n = 5Horejsi took 3 of 5
S4Horejsi3Wiecek2n = 5Horejsi took 3 of 5
S5Horejsi3Wiecek1n = 4Horejsi took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricHorejsiWiecekH − WBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match45.642.0+3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorejsiWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 38 vs 1060 / 197657.9%53.6%22 / 38 vs 1060 / 1976Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorejsiHorejsi 1.73/Wiecek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Horejsi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Horejsi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WMay 26 · 08:50M. Horejsi—3A. Wiecek—1
WMay 13 · 05:05M. Horejsi—3A. Wiecek—2
WMay 12 · 15:35M. Horejsi—3A. Wiecek—2
LMay 12 · 07:40M. Horejsi—2A. Wiecek—3
WMay 11 · 14:05M. Horejsi—3A. Wiecek—2
M. Horejsi10
LMay 27 · 15:10M. Horejsi2.1066111192P. Cyrnek1.67111177113WMay 27 · 13:40A. Wiecek2.2511711592M. Horejsi1.57911711113WMay 27 · 12:50P. Klos2.20611111392M. Horejsi1.61118415113LMay 27 · 12:00M. Horejsi1.678980K. Petas2.101111113LMay 27 · 10:45M. Horejsi1.67711101192A. Abbasi2.10117122113LMay 27 · 09:10P. Cyrnek1.8011117113M. Horejsi1.91531191LMay 27 · 08:25A. Abbasi2.10411118113M. Horejsi1.6711771172WMay 27 · 06:15P. Klos2.201051181M. Horejsi1.6112119113WMay 27 · 05:25M. Jadczyk1.83331141M. Horejsi1.8311119113LMay 27 · 04:00A. Wiecek2.001114113M. Horejsi1.7361260
A. Wiecek10
LSep 22 · 12:55J. Kosowski2.10111014123A. Wiecek1.6761212101WSep 22 · 12:05A. Wiecek1.831011119113D. Michna1.8312981192WSep 22 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.5781111113J. Braun2.25116691WSep 22 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.38101060A. Wiecek1.531212113WSep 22 · 08:30M. Murawski1.831121191A. Wiecek1.8391113113LSep 22 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.80131188132G. Felkel1.911161111153WSep 22 · 06:05D. Michna2.0091090A. Wiecek1.731112113LSep 22 · 04:55J. Kosowski2.0011511113A. Wiecek1.73611391LMay 27 · 13:40A. Wiecek2.2511711592M. Horejsi1.57911711113WMay 27 · 04:00A. Wiecek2.001114113M. Horejsi1.7361260
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