TT Lossbeater/ITTF World Team Champs
ITTF World Team ChampsMatch #11821952
Played Apr 30Finished
Marcos Freitas
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711115118116––
Georgios Stamatouros
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMarcos Freitas above · Georgios Stamatouros below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6
70 points played in total.
H2H Marcos Freitas 1–0 Georgios Stamatouros Georgios Stamatouros has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Freitas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stamatouros form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFreitas 1.22 / Stamatouros 4.00
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Freitas)-8.9pp (anti-value)
ITTF World Team Champs · #11821952
Freitas1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Stamatouros4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
38%takes the first set · 3 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFreitas1wins
AwayStamatouros0wins
Freitas leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFreitasStamatourosF − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match40.030.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFreitasStamatourosBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 58 vs 6 / 1551.7%40%30 / 58 vs 6 / 15Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.728.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FreitasFreitas 1.22/Stamatouros 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Freitas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Freitas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—M. Freitas—3G. Stamatouros—1
M. Freitas10
LAug 9 · 10:20M. Freitas1.987960I. Chirita1.681111113LAug 9 · 08:35M. Freitas2.107960I. Chirita1.671111113WAug 8 · 08:45M. Freitas1.051111113T. Choi8.505370LJun 28 · 03:25M. Freitas1.36671251H. Cifuentes3.00111110113WJun 27 · 19:20M. Freitas1.83791112113Y. Chang1.83111191062LJun 16 · 15:00S. Aida2.38711119113M. Freitas1.5311371122LJun 6 · 16:05M. Freitas2.10111771K. Jha1.6791111113WJun 4 · 17:50E. Dorr2.5058100M. Freitas1.501111123WJun 3 · 15:10H. Hsu2.6381110131M. Freitas1.4411812153WJun 2 · 15:35M. Freitas1.361111133A. Putuntica3.0033110
G. Stamatouros10
WMay 1 · 17:30D. Terna1.80118118122G. Stamatouros1.91811911143WApr 29 · 11:30G. Stamatouros—3J. Dey—0WApr 28 · 12:29M. Jellouli1.801171081G. Stamatouros1.9131112103LMar 2 · 18:25M. Bella1.731111113G. Stamatouros2.003750LMar 2 · 09:35K. Hagihara1.3391111113G. Stamatouros3.25115751LOct 16 · 16:25A. Gacina1.1381111113G. Stamatouros5.50114781LOct 16 · 14:00T. Pucar1.051111113G. Stamatouros8.506990WOct 14 · 08:40S. Walker1.3381080G. Stamatouros3.001112113WJan 24 · 18:30L. Mladenovic1.83111181272G. Stamatouros1.83681114113LJan 24 · 11:50G. Stamatouros1.8351011101M. Sandholt1.8311121123
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