TT Lossbeater/ITTF World Team Champs
ITTF World Team ChampsMatch #11817475
Played Apr 29Finished
Joao Geraldo
Home
1.08
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117112108––––
Maheidine Bella
Away
7.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–3Last 7Lost last 1
How it is goingJoao Geraldo above · Maheidine Bella below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 10-8
Point 49 set 3, 10-8
49 points played in total.
H2H Joao Geraldo 1–0 Maheidine Bella Maheidine Bella has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Geraldo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bella form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGeraldo 1.08 / Bella 7.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Geraldo)-14.5pp (anti-value)
ITTF World Team Champs · #11817475
Geraldo1.08
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Bella7.00
57%won 4 of 7 · last 10
43%takes the first set · 3 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGeraldo1wins
AwayBella0wins
Geraldo leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGeraldoBellaG − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match32.017.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGeraldoBellaBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 53 vs 4 / 860.4%50%32 / 53 vs 4 / 8Avg sets wonper match2.31.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.027.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GeraldoGeraldo 1.08/Bella 7.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.1%
Geraldo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Geraldo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—J. Geraldo—3M. Bella—0
J. Geraldo10
LAug 13 · 11:45J. Geraldo2.00148951T. Poret1.73121111113WAug 11 · 11:45F. Luu6.509780J. Geraldo1.101111113LAug 6 · 05:00J. Geraldo3.751162101H. Shinozuka1.2591111123WAug 4 · 02:00R. Wen1.11811881J. Geraldo6.0011711113LJul 2 · 19:35F. Lebrun1.081111113J. Geraldo7.007880WJul 1 · 02:45J. Geraldo4.3312116113D. Jorgic1.201091181WJun 29 · 01:00J. Geraldo2.009111011123I. Chirita1.73119124102LMay 23 · 10:45A. Lind1.3381113113J. Geraldo3.251151171WMay 22 · 10:10A. Salifou4.509720J. Geraldo1.171111113WMay 21 · 17:20P. Jain—12890J. Geraldo—1411113
M. Bella8
WApr 30 · 12:25J. Morisseau—4350M. Bella—1111113LMar 25 · 18:10M. Bella2.107330G. Camara1.661111113WMar 25 · 11:55R. Betelu1.2511119982M. Bella3.75491111113WMar 24 · 11:05M. Bella1.221114113T. Closset3.6521290LMar 3 · 10:45M. Bella7.007620K. Hagihara1.081111113WMar 2 · 18:25M. Bella1.731111113G. Stamatouros2.003750WJan 28 · 11:45M. Bella—1111133A. Noirault—89110LJan 27 · 16:00M. Bella3.757790B. Moullet1.251111103
Upcoming Matches
J. Geraldo
M. Bella
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