TT Lossbeater/ITTF World Team Champs
ITTF World Team ChampsMatch #11817194
Played Apr 29Finished
Jonathan Groth
Home
1.05
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116113––––
Fabio Rakotoarimanana
Away
8.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJonathan Groth above · Fabio Rakotoarimanana below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 48 set 3, 11-3
48 points played in total.
H2H Jonathan Groth 1–0 Fabio Rakotoarimanana Fabio Rakotoarimanana has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Groth)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Groth form (20%) is below what odds imply (95%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGroth 1.05 / Rakotoarimanana 8.50
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Groth)-18.2pp (anti-value)
ITTF World Team Champs · #11817194
Groth1.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Rakotoarimanana8.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGroth1wins
AwayRakotoarimanana0wins
Groth leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGrothRakotoarimananaG − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.015.0+18.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrothRakotoarimananaBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 57 vs 3 / 1154.4%27.3%31 / 57 vs 3 / 11Avg sets wonper match2.01.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.530.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrothGroth 1.05/Rakotoarimanana 8.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Groth · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Groth won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—J. Groth—3F. Rakotoarimanana—0
J. Groth10
LAug 14 · 12:50O. Assar2.50131159113J. Groth1.50119111192WAug 13 · 17:45J. Groth6.60115112113Y. Lin1.0681141192WAug 13 · 17:45J. Groth7.00115112113Y. Lin1.0881141192WAug 10 · 16:35J. Groth1.83117711123M. Karlsson1.83811118102LJun 29 · 02:45C. Wong1.61512128113J. Groth2.201110101162LJun 18 · 16:10J. Groth2.407101161M. Oikawa1.4811127113LJun 18 · 04:00J. Groth2.507101161M. Oikawa1.5011127113LJun 4 · 10:45J. Lim1.501214113J. Groth2.50101240LMay 6 · 09:00J. Groth1.73111178112Y. Feng2.00551111133WMay 4 · 20:30E. Ly4.3518130J. Groth1.161111153
F. Rakotoarimanana10
LAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 15:12M. Koleckar3.50117581F. Rakotoarimanana1.2861111113WAug 28 · 14:40F. Rakotoarimanana—91111113J. Jimenez—116991LJun 9 · 08:40F. Rakotoarimanana—9611101H. Woo—11117123LApr 30 · 13:10F. Rakotoarimanana1.656530M. Madrid2.051111113LApr 30 · 11:30F. Rakotoarimanana—3990R. Castro—1111113WApr 28 · 10:20M. Manlaijargal—0F. Rakotoarimanana—3WApr 28 · 09:00T. Myandal—1F. Rakotoarimanana—3LApr 9 · 08:10F. Rakotoarimanana4.334470A. Gacina1.201111113LMar 25 · 12:30F. Rakotoarimanana2.63116891L. Devos1.4461111113
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