TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11719664
Played Apr 10Finished
Karl Walter
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11612101210––––
Akos Kishegyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingKarl Walter above · Akos Kishegyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-5
Point 50 set 3, 6-5
50 points drawn · the score is 11 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Karl Walter 0–1 Akos Kishegyi Karl Walter has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kishegyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kishegyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalter 1.91 / Kishegyi 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kishegyi)+3.4pp
Challenger Series TT · #11719664
Walter1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kishegyi1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWalter0wins
AwayKishegyi1wins
Kishegyi leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWalterKishegyiW − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.042.0−21.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalterKishegyiBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 117 vs 35 / 8441%41.7%48 / 117 vs 35 / 84Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.033.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KishegyiWalter 1.91/Kishegyi 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Kishegyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Walter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
L—K. Walter—1A. Kishegyi—3
K. Walter10
WJun 19 · 08:30K. Walter4.3311783L. Qiu1.2081121WJun 19 · 07:30K. Walter4.0011711113L. Qiu1.18811521WJun 18 · 17:30K. Walter1.401111113S. Happek2.756680WJun 18 · 16:30K. Walter1.501111113S. Happek2.316680LJun 18 · 15:30K. Walter4.5010750O. Kosolosky1.171211113LJun 18 · 13:30M. Scharrer1.361111123K. Walter3.0077100LJun 18 · 12:30M. Scharrer1.331111123K. Walter2.8577100LJun 18 · 11:30I. Bertrand1.051111113K. Walter8.509840LJun 18 · 10:00K. Walter1.808670L. Kraus1.911111113LJun 18 · 09:00K. Walter1.778670L. Kraus1.871111113
A. Kishegyi10
LApr 9 · 17:30O. Kosolosky1.171111113A. Kishegyi4.505880WApr 9 · 14:30L. Qiu—10111091A. Kishegyi—12712113WApr 9 · 13:00D. Zech—6960A. Kishegyi—1111113LApr 9 · 11:00D. Rinderer—91111113A. Kishegyi—119281LApr 9 · 10:00D. Cheaib—1611113A. Kishegyi—14570LApr 9 · 06:28M. Danzer—1111113A. Kishegyi—7940LJan 23 · 10:50M. Henninger1.361111113A. Kishegyi3.005550LJan 23 · 09:00A. Kishegyi3.00711571D. Srivastava1.3611411113WJan 22 · 18:00A. Kishegyi—11711123M. Stefanidis—8117101LJan 22 · 16:00A. Kishegyi1.7371161192K. Zimmermann2.00119117113
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