TT Lossbeater/World Cup Qualification
World Cup QualificationMatch #11670269
Played Mar 31Finished
Truls Moregard
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210511113116––
Ganghyeon Park
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingTruls Moregard above · Ganghyeon Park below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6
69 points played in total.
H2H Truls Moregard 1–0 Ganghyeon Park Ganghyeon Park has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Moregard)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Park form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoregard 1.22 / Park 4.00
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Moregard)-12.4pp (anti-value)
World Cup Qualification · #11670269
Moregard1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Park4.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMoregard1wins
AwayPark0wins
Moregard leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMoregardParkM − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.030.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoregardParkBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 81 vs 34 / 4966.7%69.4%54 / 81 vs 34 / 49Avg sets wonper match2.52.4per matchAvg pointsper match42.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoregardMoregard 1.22/Park 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.2%
Moregard · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moregard won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—T. Moregard—3G. Park—1
T. Moregard10
LAug 11 · 17:10T. Moregard1.149380D. Ovtcharov5.001111113LJul 5 · 21:15T. Moregard1.34118111193V. Sidorenko2.8541153114LJul 5 · 18:15T. Moregard1.30118111193V. Sidorenko3.4041153114WJul 5 · 01:45W. Jang2.2046550T. Moregard1.61111111114WJul 4 · 02:45K. Jha3.75311591T. Moregard1.2511611113WJul 1 · 20:45A. Bertelsmeier4.501211116102T. Moregard1.171013511123WJun 29 · 21:55Q. Aruna4.5012650T. Moregard1.171411113WMay 17 · 14:00T. Moregard1.8311115113A. Lebrun1.83571161WMay 17 · 12:27T. Moregard3.751515123F. Lebrun1.251313100WMay 16 · 11:30T. Moregard1.05113141063P. Gionis8.50811121242
G. Park10
LAug 13 · 17:10F. Lebrun1.10111193G. Park6.509840WAug 10 · 11:10F. Coton1.447990G. Park2.631111113LJun 28 · 19:00G. Park4.505260S. Lin1.171111113LJun 18 · 04:00G. Park1.579860Y. Feng2.251111113LJun 13 · 10:10G. Park2.757111081D. Qiu1.4011912113WJun 12 · 16:45G. Park2.7516811113J. Oh1.401411871WJun 10 · 23:00P. Xiang1.5010650G. Park2.501211113LJun 6 · 17:15G. Park3.5061250D. Jorgic1.281114113LJun 5 · 17:15G. Park3.7061250D. Jorgic1.251114113WJun 4 · 11:55I. Chirita2.38119771G. Park1.5341111113
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